Third Consecutive Winning Night: BrownBagBets is on Fire!

The hot streak is officially on fire! We’ve now hit our third consecutive winning night, pushing us even further ahead. Our performance in the Champions League has been impeccable, making this week’s games a clean sweep. That’s right—every single one of our Champions League plays hit!

As we head into tonight’s action, we’ve got our eyes on three NCAAF matchups and a couple of MLB games that show some promising indicators.

This is exactly why BrownBagBets is different—our commitment to strategic plays and bankroll intelligence keeps us ahead, no matter the sport. Our winning approach is in full effect, and we’re ready to continue delivering for our community.

Stay locked in, because it’s going to be another great night!

NCAAF: Stanford at Syracuse

Pick: Syracuse -8.5 / Wager: 2%

Quarterback Performance: Kyle McCord has been exceptional in his first two games for Syracuse, throwing for over 350 yards and four touchdowns in each matchup, including a strong performance against No. 23 Georgia Tech. This offensive momentum suggests he can lead Syracuse to a significant victory.

Historical Context: This marks Stanford’s weird ACC debut against Syracuse, a team that has been solid offensively. The lack of familiarity and previous competition history may hinder Stanford’s ability to adapt quickly to Syracuse’s style of play.

Offensive Edge: Syracuse’s offense is poised to score plenty against Stanford, who may struggle to keep pace. While Stanford has a slight edge on special teams, it likely won’t be enough to offset the offensive capabilities of the Orange.

NCAAF: Illinois at Nebraska

Pick: Over 42.5 / Wager: 2%

Offensive Efficiency: Both Illinois and Nebraska have shown solid offensive performances in their first three games, with both quarterbacks effectively leading their teams. This trend suggests that the scoring potential is higher than the current line indicates.

Historical Context: Despite both teams being undefeated and having covered all their games, their unders in previous matchups have led to a line that feels artificially low. Given the current circumstances, this creates an opportunity for an over bet.

Scoring Needs: With the goal of reaching just 43 points combined for both teams to win, the defenses may not be able to suppress scoring as effectively as they have in earlier games. This further supports the likelihood of the total going over.

NCAAF: San Jose State at Washington State

Pick: Washington State -12 / Wager: 2%

Strength of Schedule: Washington State’s victories over ranked opponents like Washington and Texas Tech highlight their competitive edge. In contrast, San Jose State’s best win came against Air Force, with their other victories against lesser opponents. This discrepancy in opponent strength suggests that San Jose State is stepping into a challenging environment.

Offensive Line Stability: The Cougars benefit from a solid offensive line that returns four starters, providing crucial protection for sophomore QB John Mateer. While Mateer is developing, his running ability adds a dynamic element that can exploit San Jose State’s defensive weaknesses.

League Disparity: Given the contrasting levels of competition faced by each team, it’s reasonable to expect Washington State to dominate this matchup. The Cougars are equipped to handle the challenges posed by San Jose State effectively, making the -12 spread a solid bet.

MLB: Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox

Pick: Under 8.5 / Wager: 3%

Pitching Performance: Richard Fitts is making his third start of the season and has yet to allow a run in 10.2 innings pitched. His impressive performance contributes to the expectation of a low-scoring game. On the other hand, David Festa has a solid 3.96 road ERA and has allowed two runs or fewer in each of his last four starts, further reinforcing the likelihood of the game staying under.

Offensive Struggles: Both teams are currently struggling at the plate. The Twins are hitting just .216 with a .614 OPS over the last seven days, while the Red Sox have been even worse, batting .174 with a .515 OPS. These offensive numbers suggest a lack of run production, making it difficult for the total to reach 9 runs.

Recent Trends: The recent performance of the Twins on the road supports this pick, as five of their last seven road games have gone under the total set at 8.5, with one push. This trend indicates a consistent pattern of low-scoring games, making the under a strong consideration.

MLB: Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets

Pick: Under 7.5 / Wager: 3%

Mets’ Offensive Surge: The New York Mets recently set a franchise record with three consecutive games scoring double-digit runs. However, such offensive explosions are difficult to sustain, and I expect them to cool off in this matchup against the Phillies.

Pitching Matchup: Christopher Sanchez will take the mound for the Phillies, and David Peterson will start for the Mets. Their previous encounter this past Sunday resulted in only three combined runs, marking the lowest output in their eleven-game series this season. This indicates a strong potential for a low-scoring game.

Historical Context: Given the recent trend of low-scoring affairs between these teams, coupled with the current form of both pitchers, the conditions are ripe for another underwhelming offensive output. The familiarity between the pitchers and hitters adds to the likelihood of a tight, low-scoring game.

MLB: Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins

Pick: Braves -1.5 / Wager: 4%

Braves’ Recent Surge: The Braves are making a late-season push after a dominant performance against the Reds, highlighted by a 15-3 victory. With only nine games left, they need to capitalize on this momentum to catch the Mets or D-backs. The recent offensive output suggests they are hitting their stride at just the right time.

Charlie Morton’s Strong Performance: Charlie Morton has been impressive in his last two starts, allowing just two runs and nine hits over 12.2 innings. Although run support has been minimal recently, the Braves’ offensive explosion on Thursday indicates a potential turnaround, which could provide Morton with the backing he needs.

Marlins’ Pitching Struggles: The Marlins are dealing with significant issues on the mound, having allowed 37 runs over the last three games against the Dodgers. Valente Bellozo typically requires assistance from Miami’s bullpen, which poses a risky scenario given their recent struggles. This gives Atlanta a clear advantage in the matchup.

MLB: San Francisco Giants at Kansas City Royals

Pick: Royals ML / Wager: 2%

Intangible Factors Favoring the Royals: Despite their struggles and the absence of Vinnie Pasquantino, the Royals benefit from several intangibles in this matchup. The Giants just played and lost on Thursday, utilizing high-leverage relievers, and are now traveling, which can impact their performance.

Pitching Matchup: Kansas City’s Michael Wacha has been effective at home, sporting a 7-2 record with a 2.87 ERA. He may need to deliver a strong performance to secure a win, especially given the current state of the Royals’ offense. In contrast, Giants rookie Mason Black is 0-4 with a 7.07 ERA overall and an alarming 10.03 ERA on the road, indicating he may struggle against a determined Royals lineup.

Performance Expectations: If the Royals aim to remain in contention for a wild card spot, they need to capitalize on matchups like this. A loss here would reflect poorly on their postseason aspirations, adding pressure to secure a victory.