BrownBagBets: Long-Term Winning Strategy & MLB Playoff Prep

Last night wasn’t our best showing with a 1-3 record across just 4 plays. While losing nights are never something we celebrate, this is exactly where the BrownBagBets approach shines. Our strategy is built on the long game, focusing not on single days but on entire months of consistent and intelligent sports betting. It's about knowing that, even when we have an off night, we’re still right where we need to be.

As of today, we're still hovering around the 100% mark for September, which means we haven’t lost a single dollar after 24 days of continuous sports betting. This stability is proof that the BrownBagBets way isn’t about chasing short-term highs but about building sustainable, long-term passive income. We are proud to say that by betting the way we do, we help create a real opportunity for passive income through sports betting—when it's done smartly and consistently.

Today, we have a full slate of MLB games to dive into. With October just around the corner, the MLB playoff picture is becoming clearer by the day, and we pride ourselves on hitting big plays during this time of year. As the stakes rise, so does our focus, and we’re ready to finish the regular season strong.

We’re also excited to announce that we’ve been in talks with an individual who has a solid track record in making consistent winning picks within the NHL. While nothing is official yet, we’re considering bringing them on board for NHL plays. Rest assured, we don’t just let anyone join the BrownBagBets team. This potential addition will go through our rigorous evaluation process to prove themselves before any picks are posted. Stay tuned for more updates as the NHL preseason gets underway, and we keep a close eye on their performance.

Now, let’s get ready for today’s picks and keep pushing for more wins as we close in on the end of September!

MLB: Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers

Pick: Tigers -1.5 @ +125 / Wager: 2%

Playoff Push for the Tigers: Detroit is in a position to control its playoff destiny, marking an impressive turnaround since mid-August. The urgency to capitalize on this opportunity is high, and the team will be motivated to secure a crucial victory against a solid Rays squad.

Dominant Pitching Performance: AL Cy Young contender Tarik Skubal takes the mound, boasting a remarkable 9-1 record with a 2.13 ERA at Comerica Park this season. His ability to keep opponents to a .176 batting average highlights his dominance at home, making him a key asset for the Tigers in this matchup.

Strengthening the Bullpen: The Tigers are set to enhance their pitching depth by calling up top prospect Jackson Jobe, which should provide additional support in the bullpen. This move not only adds talent but also instills confidence in the team’s ability to close out games.

Rays’ Recent Form: While the Rays are playing well, the potential for a competitive matchup should not overshadow the Tigers’ home advantage and the effectiveness of their ace. If Detroit can leverage its pitching and capitalize on its playoff aspirations, a multi-run victory is within reach.

MLB: Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees

Pick: Yankees -1.5 @ +130 / Wager: 3%

Yankees’ Playoff Push: With a magic number of 1 to clinch the AL East, the Yankees are in a strong position and motivated to secure a victory. Their recent form has them competing effectively for the top seed in the AL playoffs, making this game crucial for their momentum.

Orioles’ Struggles: The Orioles have significantly faltered since their strong start to the season, now 37-45 over the last three months. This decline has diminished their competitiveness, particularly against a Yankees team that is peaking at the right time.

Pitching Matchup Advantage: Clarke Schmidt has been exceptional for the Yankees, posting a 1.76 ERA over his last three starts. In contrast, Dean Kremer is struggling at the back of the Orioles’ rotation, coming off a performance where he allowed 5 runs (4 earned) against the Giants. This pitching discrepancy could play a pivotal role in the outcome.

Home Field Advantage: Playing at Yankee Stadium adds another layer of confidence for New York, as they look to capitalize on their favorable matchup and continue their playoff chase. Expect the Yankees to assert control and secure a multi-run victory against a reeling Orioles team.

MLB: New York Mets at Atlanta Braves

Pick: Mets ML @ +125 / Wager: 2%

Vibes and Momentum: Despite public sentiment leaning towards the Braves, this pick is rooted in the positive vibes surrounding the Mets. Unlike last season’s late struggles, the Mets are showing resilience and determination, positioning themselves as a formidable road team.

Strong Performance Since June: The Mets have been the best team in baseball since the start of June, showcasing their ability to compete effectively against tough opponents. This current form suggests they can rise to the occasion in Atlanta, countering the Braves’ momentum.

Contrasting 2022 Narrative: Last season, the Braves capitalized on opportunities to seize the division from the Mets. This time around, the narrative has shifted, and the Mets appear ready to assert themselves and make a statement against their division rivals.

MLB: San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers

Pick: Padres ML @ +100 / Wager: 3%

Recent Head-to-Head Success: The Padres have a solid track record against the Dodgers, going 7-3 in their last ten matchups. This season, they’ve won seven of ten against LA, indicating a clear competitive edge that bodes well for this game.

Strong Pitching Performance: Padres starter King has been exceptional, allowing 2 earned runs or fewer in 12 of his last 13 outings, posting a 2.16 ERA. His previous performance against the Dodgers (7 IP, 2 H, 0 ER) showcases his ability to handle high-pressure situations effectively.

Padres’ Momentum: Since a 50-50 start, the Padres have transformed their season with a 40-16 record, fueled by a potent offense and an ace bullpen. Their current form suggests they are playing with confidence and can continue their strong run against a Dodgers team facing some struggles.