Hump Day!!! BrownBagBets Looking for A Big Mid-Week Pick Up
MLB: Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros
Pick: Mariners ML / Wager: 3%
Context: After clinching the AL West, the Astros may opt to rest key players, which could impact their competitiveness in this matchup. Meanwhile, the Mariners are still fighting for a Wild Card spot, making every game crucial for them.
Pitching Advantage: George Kirby has been exceptional against the Astros this season, boasting a 1.50 ERA in three starts. His strong performance gives Seattle a solid edge on the mound.
Motivation Factor: The Mariners are in a must-win situation, while the Astros may not be as motivated after securing their playoff position. This dynamic could play a significant role in the outcome of the game.
MLB: Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals
Pick: Royals ML / Wager: 4%
Matchup Advantage: The Royals are looking to capitalize on a struggling Nationals team, which has been playing poorly and seems eager for the season to conclude. Kansas City’s recent extra-inning win provides them with much-needed momentum.
Pitching Edge: Michael Lorenzen makes his return to the mound after a successful August with a 1.85 ERA. His performance prior to the break suggests he can provide stability for the Royals against a Nationals lineup that is currently underperforming.
Nats’ Struggles: Nationals starter DJ Herz is coming off a disastrous outing against the Mets, where he allowed seven runs in a 10-0 loss. This instability in the Nationals’ rotation presents an opportunity for the Royals to exploit and secure a victory.
MLB: New York Mets at Atlanta Braves
Pick: Braves -1.5 @ +120 / Wager: 4%
Recent Performance: Chris Sale has been solid for the Braves, boasting a 1.13 ERA in September and leading the team to eight consecutive wins when he starts. His current form positions Atlanta well as they vie for a wild card spot.
Mets Struggles: David Peterson’s recent decline, with a 5.17 ERA in his last three starts, coincides with the Mets’ losing streak. This trend raises concerns about their ability to compete effectively against a strong Braves lineup.
Motivation Factor: With playoff spots on the line, the Braves are highly motivated to secure wins. Their momentum and Sale’s performance create a favorable scenario for backing Atlanta to cover the run line.
MLB: Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins
Pick: Twins -1.5 @ +110 / Wager: 3%
Context: The Twins are in a critical stretch, needing to secure wins to stay in the Wild Card race. With pressure mounting, losing at home to a struggling Miami team is not an option.
Pitching Matchup: Edward Cabrera has a 5.71 ERA on the road, which could play into the Twins’ hands. They need to capitalize on his inconsistency to generate offense early.
Bullpen Considerations: The Marlins may face bullpen issues, as their high-leverage pitchers have been overused recently. This could lead to opportunities for the Twins to exploit weaker arms late in the game.
Motivation Factor: With the potential for an offseason managerial change looming, the Twins will be highly motivated to turn things around and secure a much-needed victory.
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