Strategically Positioned: The Power of Future Bets and Tonight’s Top Picks

The Power of Future Bets

Good news, BrownBagBets community! Last night was a winner, and we're strategically positioned for even more success. Our bankroll is back up to 101%, and that's adjusted for future bets that still have the potential to hit. The Astros dominated the Twins, and we cashed in on both the Money Line and the +1.5. Now, we're sitting pretty with a 4% wager on the Astros to win the series at -105. If you were to place that same bet today, it would cost you -380. That's the power of timing and future bets! We've also got the Phillies and Dodgers in our back pocket, setting us up for a potentially lucrative finish to the MLB playoffs.

Tonight's Expert Picks

Braves at Phillies Over 9 - 4% Bankroll

We're going with the over 9 in this game, and we are well aware of Aaron Nola's consistency. The Braves are expected to send out Bryce Elder first, followed by AJ Smith-Shawver. Elder has a 5.7 ERA, and Smith-Shawver's sabermetrics data point for HRs per flyball is less than ideal. Add in a 65+ degree night at a raucous Citizens Bank Park, and we see runs being scored here. For those unfamiliar with sabermetrics, check out our glossary of sports and betting terms.

Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Total Bases - 3% Bankroll

Bryce Harper has been a Braves killer in the postseason. With a .600 average and a 1.600 OPS, he's leading in almost every statistical category against them. We're loving the value here at +117, and we're going in with 3% of the bankroll. Harper's performance will likely play a significant role in hitting that over 9.

Astros at Twins Over 8 - 4% Bankroll

We're loving the over 8 in this game. Both pitchers, Joe Ryan for the Twins and Jose Urquidy for the Astros, have a tendency to give up the long ball. Ryan has a 4.51 ERA, and Urquidy has a 5.29 ERA. Plus, the series has consistently hit the 8-run mark or higher in all three games. This feels like a solid choice.

Astros ML +100 - 2% Bankroll

We're also taking the Astros on the Money Line at +100. They crushed Sonny Gray, God’s pitching gift from the Yankees to the Twins, last night, and we see them continuing that momentum. This is too good of a deal to pass up, especially with the Astros' road performance this year. We're not just sitting on our laurels with the Astros future bet; the plus money is too enticing. If the odds were smaller, we might not take the risk.

UTEP at FIU Under 44.5 - 3% Bankroll

This line has moved a staggering 9.5 points, and both offenses are below average. We're tracking big money and sharp movement on the under, making this feel like easy money. All three of UTEP's QBs are questionable, adding another layer of uncertainty to the over/under.

Sam Houston State at New Mexico State ML - 3% Bankroll

Sam Houston is dealing with a lot of injuries, especially in their running back corps. New Mexico State just had their best game of the year, and we like this momentum to continue. Sam Houston is in its first year of FBS play, and the injury bug could be a significant factor. New Mexico State's recent performance gives us confidence in this pick.

Dodgers at Diamondbacks - No Bet

We're sitting this one out. We're happy with our future bet on the Dodgers at +430. They have the experience and the managerial expertise to turn things around, but we're not touching this game tonight.

There you have it! We're not just throwing darts here; we're making calculated, strategic bets. Let's keep the momentum going!