BrownBagBets Monthly Recap: October Closes with 135% Bankroll, November Kicks Off with Friday Night Lights

BrownBagBets Monthly Recap: October Delivers 135% Bankroll and Big Gains in Cash and Tier Credits

October was another winning month in the books for BrownBagBets, finishing at 135% of our starting bankroll—making it our 7th profitable month out of 10 for 2024. This month highlighted our methodical approach to betting, leveraging a high volume of smart plays, gaining loyalty credits, and maximizing passive income. Our October betting summary shows exactly why our approach works and how our results speak for themselves.

In October, we placed a total of 247 individual bets across a range of sports, making every play count in more ways than one. Beyond the direct wins and cash gains, each wager helped build tier credits on our preferred betting platform, translating to real-world value beyond the bet itself. To put this into perspective, just from October’s bets alone, we racked up 4,659 credits with Caesars Rewards—enough to hit Platinum if we were starting fresh. For our account, which has been operating at this level for years, these credits accumulate to 7 Stars status, delivering significant perks and cash value over time.

Adding up these tier credits with our bankroll gain, the total value of October’s results was close to $7,000—a combination of cash profit and loyalty rewards. For those looking to make sports betting a consistent income source, our high-volume, disciplined approach has proven it can generate reliable returns and additional perks month after month.

Here’s a quick snapshot of our October stats:

• Overall Record: 134-117-1 across 247 plays

• NCAAF: 35-25 (+$1,643)

• NFL: 47-35 (+$2,025)

• NHL: 16-13 (+$370)

• NBA: 4-0 (+$643)

• MLB: 24-28 (-$1,691)

• EPL: 1-6 (-$585)

We had standout performances across multiple sports, especially in NFL and college football, which brought in the strongest returns for the month. This diversity across sports, combined with our disciplined betting model, is a core part of the BrownBagBets philosophy—win some, lose some, but keep adding up steady gains.

Looking Ahead: Friday Night Lights and the Start of NCAA Basketball Season

November kicks off tonight with an action-packed Friday slate across college football, NBA, NHL, and a huge new focus: NCAA basketball is back, and we’re already preparing to dive in.

• College Football Friday Night Lights:

  • There’s something special about college football under the lights before Saturday’s all-day action. Tonight’s lineup includes four games:

    • Yale vs. Columbia at the FCS level

    • Georgia State vs. UConn

    • USF vs. FAU

    • San Diego State vs. Boise State

  • We’re ready to start November strong with calculated plays in these key matchups.

• NBA Action:

  • The NBA lineup tonight is loaded with competitive matchups:

    • Knicks face the Pistons after a big win over Miami.

    • Lakers look to bounce back against the Raptors.

    • Celtics take on Charlotte after a rare loss.

    • Denver and Minnesota renew their rivalry, with tensions high after their playoff battle last season.

• NHL Slate:

  • Tonight, six NHL matchups are on the board:

    • Panthers travel to Dallas.

    • Ottawa heads to Madison Square Garden to face the Rangers.

    • Devils visit Calgary in what promises to be an intense game.

  • Our NHL model continues to spot undervalued sides, and we’re ready to capitalize on the best plays available.

• NCAA Basketball Returns:

  • The start of college basketball season is one of the most exciting times for BrownBagBets. Our team of analysts is already deep into prep mode, analyzing preseason data, team trends, and key players to watch. This week marks the first wave of NCAA games, and we’re primed to deliver value from Day 1.

Kicking Off November with Proven Strategy and Fresh Opportunities

As we step into November, BrownBagBets stays committed to the disciplined, high-volume betting strategy that has driven consistent results all year. Whether it’s NFL, college football, NHL, NBA, or now NCAA basketball, our approach is to keep building—one smart play at a time. The opportunities this month are endless, and we’re ready to hit the ground running.

Follow along, trust the process, and let’s make November another winning month. Here’s to a strong start and many profitable days ahead!

NCAAF: San Diego State at Boise State
Pick: Under 57.5 / Wager: 2%

Trends Point to Defensive Showdown:
Despite the explosive talent of Ashton Jeanty, the current stage of the season suggests a trend towards lower scoring in Boise State games. While the early non-conference matchups favored the over (4-0), conference play has shown a shift, with only one out of three games hitting the over and the last two outings ending in unders.

San Diego State's Struggles:
San Diego State has been emblematic of a team struggling to find its offensive rhythm, averaging just 45.9 points per game, placing them 113th in FBS. Their games have been characterized by a conservative approach, focusing on ball control and strong defense, which plays right into the under narrative.

Game Context:
With the added pressure of conference implications, expect both teams to emphasize defensive strategies. The combination of Boise's recent trends and San Diego's offensive difficulties suggests a battle that leans heavily on stopping power rather than scoring prowess.

NHL: Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers
Pick: Rangers -1 / Wager: 3%

Goaltending Concerns for Ottawa:
Ottawa's struggles in net have been evident this season, contributing to a GAA of 3.44. Despite having a strong forward group and a solid blueline, the lack of reliable goaltending has held the Senators back, making it difficult for them to capitalize on their strengths.

Rangers’ Offensive Prowess:
The Rangers are currently fourth in the league in scoring, showcasing a potent offensive attack. With either Igor Shesterkin or Jonathan Quick expected to start, New York is well-positioned to control the game. Their goaltending depth provides a significant advantage against an Ottawa team that is still seeking consistency.

Historical Context:
Ottawa has struggled on the road with a 1-3 record this season and has lost six of the past nine matchups against the Rangers. This trend reinforces the expectation that the Rangers will dominate this contest, especially given their strong home performance.

NHL: Florida Panthers at Dallas Stars

Pick: Stars +1 / Wager: 3%

Strong Start for the Stars: While the defending Cup champion Florida Panthers are a formidable opponent, the Dallas Stars are no slouches themselves, boasting a 7-2 record and a significantly better goal differential compared to Florida. This season, the Stars have shown resilience and skill, making them a tough matchup for any team.

Goaltending Advantage: Dallas will have their No. 1 goaltender, Jake Oettinger, in net. Oettinger currently ranks fourth in the league with a GAA of 1.84 and third in save percentage at .938. His stellar performance between the pipes gives the Stars a significant edge, especially in tight games.

Unique Game Context: Today’s game is being played in Finland, which adds an interesting twist to the matchup. Despite being the “home” team, the Stars are surprisingly getting +1, which is a line that wouldn’t likely be the case in a standard home game. This unique scenario could provide an added incentive for Dallas, especially since they will have the last line change, allowing them to better match up against Florida’s potent offense.

NHL: Winnipeg Jets at Columbus Blue Jackets

Pick: Blue Jackets +1.5 / Wager: 3%

Columbus Continues to Overachieve: The Columbus Blue Jackets have been a pleasant surprise lately, consistently delivering strong performances that have made them a reliable option for bettors. Their ability to exceed expectations has made them an attractive play, especially in this matchup against a Winnipeg Jets team that may not be at full strength.

Goalie Matchup: The absence of reigning Vezina winner Connor Hellebuyck in net for the Jets significantly shifts the dynamic of this game. Backup goaltender Eric Comrie stepping in is akin to trading a Ferrari for a Pinto—it’s a considerable downgrade. While backup goalies can sometimes rise to the occasion, the drop-off in quality can lead to vulnerabilities.

Merzlikins on a Roll: On the other hand, Elvis Merzlikins has been outstanding for Columbus, allowing just one goal on 58 shots during a two-game winning streak. His current form gives the Blue Jackets a solid chance to keep the game close, if not secure a victory.

NBA: Los Angeles Lakers at Toronto Raptors

Pick: Lakers -8 / Wager: 3%

Defensive Struggles for the Raptors: The Raptors are facing serious issues on the defensive end, particularly in protecting the rim. They have allowed opponents to score freely, with three of their games yielding 127 points or more. This trend is concerning, especially against a Lakers team looking to capitalize on defensive vulnerabilities.

Injuries Impacting Toronto: With the loss of Scottie Barnes, who provided instant offense, the Raptors' scoring ability is further compromised. Their recent struggles in maintaining a competitive edge have resulted in three losses by 8 points or more, and they could be ripe for a letdown against a motivated Lakers squad.

Lakers' Offensive Power: The Lakers come into this matchup looking to assert themselves after a tough loss to the Cavaliers. With LeBron James and Anthony Davis leading the charge, the Lakers have the firepower to exploit the Raptors' defensive weaknesses. Their ability to push the pace and attack the rim could lead to a significant scoring advantage.

Recent Trends: Historically, the Lakers have fared well against teams struggling defensively. Given the current state of the Raptors, this matchup presents an opportunity for the Lakers to bounce back in a big way. Expect them to cover the spread as they look to assert dominance on the road.

NBA Parlay: Cavaliers ML + Bulls +1.5 @ +159 / Wager: 1%

Parlay Rationale: Combining the Cleveland Cavaliers’ moneyline with the Chicago Bulls at +1.5 provides an appealing opportunity to capitalize on mismatched odds and recent performances. Both teams find themselves in favorable positions tonight, making this a compelling parlay option.

Cavaliers’ Strong Position: The Cavaliers are set to face the Orlando Magic, who will be missing key player Paolo Banchero. Given the Cavaliers’ solid home court advantage and their overall strength, it’s difficult to envision them losing this matchup. The current line reflects a certain level of uncertainty, but Cleveland’s ability to dominate at home should shine through. While the odds might feel a bit low, the Cavaliers’ depth and talent should carry them to victory.

Bulls’ Defense Against the Nets:

On the other side, the Chicago Bulls are coming off a stellar defensive performance where they held the Orlando Magic to just 37 points in the second half. This type of effort is crucial as they face a Brooklyn Nets team that has recently enjoyed success but may struggle against a disciplined defensive squad like the Bulls. With Chicago serving as slight road underdogs, they have the potential to disrupt the Nets’ momentum and cover the spread.

Lower Wager Percentage: Considering the nature of this parlay, a 1% wager reflects a cautious approach. While both selections hold promise, the NBA can be unpredictable, especially when teams are coming off back-to-back games or dealing with injuries. Therefore, it’s wise to keep the wager modest, ensuring we remain flexible to adjust our strategy moving forward.

Sum it up: By backing the Cavaliers on the moneyline and taking the Bulls at +1.5, we create an opportunity to capitalize on favorable matchups while mitigating risk. Given the current dynamics in the NBA, this parlay reflects both strategic insight and a recognition of the inherent volatility in basketball betting.

NBA: Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves

Pick: Timberwolves Moneyline (ML)

Wager: 2%

Recent Performance and Situational Analysis: The Denver Nuggets (2-2) are facing the Minnesota Timberwolves (2-2) at Target Center on Friday, November 1, 2024, at 9:30 PM ET. The Timberwolves have been competitive early in the season, highlighted by Anthony Edwards averaging 37 points per game. This performance has given Minnesota a boost, and they enter this matchup with momentum.

Nuggets’ Struggles and Fatigue: Despite the Nuggets’ success with three-time MVP Nikola Jokić leading the charge, they have encountered difficulties this season. Recent games have shown signs of inconsistency, as evidenced by a narrow overtime win against the Toronto Raptors and a close victory over the Brooklyn Nets. The Nuggets are also facing fatigue, having played back-to-back games, which adds to the challenge of maintaining performance on the road.

Timberwolves’ Depth and Home Advantage: Minnesota has a deeper roster, and their recent form suggests they are poised to capitalize on the Nuggets’ struggles. The Timberwolves have had the advantage of being well-rested, which positions them favorably against a Nuggets team that may be lacking in consistent complementary shooting. The matchup in the playoffs has also shown that Minnesota can rise to the occasion.

NBA: Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers

Pick: Under 221.5 / Wager: 4%

Defensive Dominance of Oklahoma City: The Oklahoma City Thunder are leading the NBA in several defensive metrics early in the , allowing just over 94 points per game. Head coach Mark Daigneault has effectively adjusted the team’s defensive strategy since last year’s playoff series against Dallas, emphasizing perimeter defense and leveraging the players’ length and quickness. This renewed focus has resulted in three unders in their first four games, including both road games, each landing significantly below the set totals.

Portland’s Slower Pace and Defensive Improvements: The Portland Trail Blazers have also adopted a slower pace this season, complementing their improving defense, which has limited opponents to an average of 106 points per game over their last four outings. Their commitment to defensive efficiency further aligns with the trend of lower-scoring games.

Overall Matchup Expectations:

With both teams emphasizing defense and playing at a more controlled pace, the under 221.5 presents strong value in this matchup.