October Closes at 135% Bankroll with NFL, NBA, NHL, and NCAAF Action Tonight

Closing Out October at 135% Bankroll and Eyeing a 7th Winning Month

Today marks the final day of October, and as we wrap up this month, BrownBagBets is holding strong at 135% of our starting bankroll—putting us in prime position to secure our 7th winning month of 2024. Through steady, strategic plays and discipline, October has been another example of why our approach works, delivering reliable, passive income month after month.

Tonight’s Lineup: NFL, NBA, NHL, and College Football Action

As we close out October, tonight offers a stacked lineup across NFL, NBA, NHL, and college football. Here’s what we’re tracking:

NFL Thursday Night Football:

• Houston Texans (6-2) vs. New York Jets (2-6) kicks off Week 9 in the NFL. Set for 8:15 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium, this matchup brings a line that has seen big movement this week. While Houston initially opened as a slight favorite, the Jets are now favored by 2 points. Both teams are coming off tight games, with the Texans securing a close win over the Colts and the Jets facing another narrow loss. This AFC showdown is an intriguing one for both sides, and we’re ready to dive into the numbers.

NHL:

• After an intense Frozen Frenzy on Tuesday, NHL action is back with increased volume tonight. Our proprietary models have spotted two moneyline plays offering strong value. Stay tuned as we lock in those plays and take advantage of what promises to be an action-packed night on the ice.

NBA Thursday Slate:

• Tonight’s NBA schedule is headlined by an Eastern Conference Finals rematch as the Celtics take on the Pacers. In other matchups:

Knicks meet the Heat for an early-season clash.

Lakers head to Cleveland as LeBron returns to face his hometown team.

Victor Wembanyama faces off against Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Thunder in a highly anticipated showdown.

With a full lineup, we’re zeroing in on value plays as teams settle into the season.

NCAAF:

In tonight’s lone college football game, Tulane (6-2, 4-0) meets Charlotte (3-5, 2-2 AAC) as a 15-point favorite. Tulane remains one of the few Group of 5 teams with a potential CFP path, and they’ll need a convincing win to stay in the mix. However, Charlotte showed grit last week, nearly upsetting Memphis as heavy underdogs. This one has the makings of a battle, with Tulane looking to hold strong and avoid another close finish.

Disciplined Plays and Consistent Growth

As we move into November, our commitment remains the same: disciplined plays, strategic adjustments, and transparent tracking of every pick. With tonight’s packed schedule across NFL, NBA, NHL, and college football, we’re ready to close out October on a high note.

Stick with BrownBagBets for consistent, smart plays—and let’s keep the momentum going. Here’s to a strong close and an even stronger start to November!NFL: Houston Texans at New York Jets

Pick: Jets ML / Wager: 3%

Situational Edge for the Jets:

This is a prime opportunity to back the Jets, as their market value has dipped to an all-time low. The Texans are facing a tough situational spot, dealing with injuries while playing another road game on a short week. With my simulations showing the Jets winning 59% of the time, the line should reflect a Jets price of around -144.

Concerns for Houston:

The Texans may appear dominant with a 6-2 record, but their performance hasn’t been as impressive as the numbers suggest. Quarterback CJ Stroud is under constant pressure, and the absence of top wide receivers Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs (who is out for the season with a torn ACL) significantly weakens the offense. Additionally, defensive starters Azeez Al-Shaair and Jimmie Ward are also expected to miss this game, further hampering their defensive capabilities.

Past Performance Insights:

Historically, the Jets have been competitive against the Texans, as evidenced by their 30-6 victory when these teams met at MetLife Stadium last December. The Jets were in a position to win four of their last five games despite not covering the spread, showcasing their potential even amidst struggles.

Motivation and Must-Win Factor:

For New York, this game is a must-win. With the Texans comfortably ahead in the AFC South, they might not have the same urgency. In contrast, the Jets are desperate for a victory, which should translate into a strong performance on the field.

NHL: Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins

Pick: Ducks ML @ +165 / Wager: 1%

Pittsburgh’s Struggles:

We’re taking advantage of a Penguins team currently in free fall, riding a six-game losing streak while laying a hefty price of around -190. Pittsburgh is playing undeniably poor hockey, and their recent collapse seems imminent. Despite management’s decision to retain the Crosby-Malkin-Letang core from their Stanley Cup glory days, the aging roster is struggling. Key personnel moves, like the acquisition of Erik Karlsson, have not yielded the desired results.

Goaltending Woes:

Goaltending issues compound the Penguins’ struggles. Tristan Jarry has been demoted to the minors, leaving Mike Sullivan with no choice but to rely on Joel Blomqvist. Blomqvist has posted a disappointing 3.46 GAA and .909 save percentage, facing an onslaught of shots in recent games.

Ducks’ Recent Form:

On the other hand, the Ducks have shown resilience. They recently secured a solid 3-1 victory against the Islanders, demonstrating that they can compete effectively. Goalie Lukas Dostal is having a standout season with impressive stats, boasting a 2.00 GAA and .943 save percentage. His strong performances provide the Ducks with confidence heading into this matchup.

Value on the Ducks:

Given the Penguins’ current woes and the Ducks’ improving form, backing Anaheim at this value (+165) presents a compelling opportunity. The Ducks are capable of capitalizing on Pittsburgh’s vulnerabilities, making this a worthwhile wage.

NHL: Edmonton Oilers at Nashville Predators

Pick: Predators ML / Wager: 2%

Impact of McDavid’s Absence:

The NHL world is about to see how the Edmonton Oilers fare without Connor McDavid, who is expected to be sidelined for the next 2-3 weeks. Historically, the Oilers have struggled without their star player, posting a dismal 20-26-10 record all-time and just 1-4-1 last season in games without him. McDavid’s extraordinary scoring ability, highlighted by his 1.51 career points per game average—ranking behind only legends Wayne Gretzky and Mario Lemieux—creates a significant gap in the Oilers’ offense.

Nashville’s Potential:

Despite Nashville’s underwhelming start to the season, this is an opportune moment to back the Predators against a McDavid-less Oilers team. With Edmonton lacking its primary offensive weapon, the Predators can capitalize on this situation. The Predators have the chance to assert themselves at home, where they typically play more effectively.

Fading the Oilers:

With McDavid out, the Oilers may struggle to generate scoring opportunities and maintain their usual offensive tempo. This leads us to anticipate a leaner performance from Edmonton, making the Predators’ money line a favorable option. Expect to see a lot of fading opportunities for the Oilers while McDavid remains on the sidelines, and consider the potential for lower-scoring games as well.