Unlocking Hidden Wins in MLB, NHL, and College Football

Unlocking Hidden Wins and Another Hot Streak

Another night of winning in the books—and this one felt like we opened a hidden stash of cash. With a strong 5-2 performance across all plays, we’ve pushed our bankrolls up to 122% of where we started this month. It’s been a clean sweep in NFL, our fifth straight winning night in NHL, and we hit big on our largest MLB play of the night.

Here at BrownBagBets, we’ve been refining our strategy for years, and one of the greatest lessons we’ve learned is how to ride hot streaks the right way. Over the last 7 days, we’ve won 65% of our bets and are now sitting on an ROI of over 20%. These aren’t just random wins—they come from the discipline and methodology we’ve perfected. Let’s keep this streak alive as we head into the weekend, aiming to lock in another profitable month.

Tonight’s Slate: MLB, College Football, and NHL Action

We’re heading into an exciting Friday night of action across MLB, college football, and NHL. Here’s what we’ve got on tap:

MLB Playoffs:

In the NLCS, the New York Mets face the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 5, with RHP Jack Flaherty going up against LHP David Peterson. The first four games of the series have all gone Over on totals, and tonight’s game conditions are shaping up for more offense. Warmer temperatures in New York could make a difference, although we’re keeping an eye on the wind and a pitcher-friendly umpire.

In the ALCS, Luis Gil takes the mound for the Yankees against Gavin Williams of the Guardians. Gil hasn’t pitched in nearly three weeks, and his command issues could present opportunities for Cleveland, especially in the chilly weather.

College Football:

Tonight’s Friday night lights include a big matchup between No. 2 Oregon and Purdue, and a Big 12 clash between Oklahoma State and No. 13 BYU. It’s the perfect setup for an even bigger weekend of college football.

NHL Action:

Three games stand out in tonight’s NHL slate: the Hurricanes at Penguins, Sharks at Jets, and Ducks at Avalanche. We’re analyzing the matchups and have our eyes on potential value plays.

Riding the Momentum to a Winning Weekend

We’ve been riding the wave of this hot streak, and we’re just getting started. Our focus remains sharp, and the goal is clear—lock in another winning weekend. Whether it’s on the ice, the diamond, or the gridiron, we’re sticking to the plan, analyzing every angle, and staying disciplined.

Let’s keep building that passive income and make this October one to remember. Stay tuned for the picks, trust the process, and let’s unlock more hidden wins tonight!

MLB - National League Championship Series (Game 5): Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets
Pick: Over 7.5 / Wager: 2%

Dodgers’ Offensive Surge:
The Dodgers have been on a tear against the Mets, winning seven out of their last eight matchups. Their bats are lively, with contributions from the entire lineup, making them a formidable offensive force. This momentum is reflected in their recent games, as they've gone over the total in five straight contests, including all four games in this championship series.

Mets’ Struggles and Bullpen Fatigue:
Despite their best efforts, the Mets have struggled to contain the Dodgers' lineup. After failing to contain their best pitcher in the previous game, the Mets find themselves in a tough spot with limited resources left to compete effectively. The toll of the series is evident, and they may be forced to rely on pitchers who are not as sharp, leading to potential run-scoring opportunities for the Dodgers.

Trends Favoring the Over:
With the Dodgers in a rhythm and the Mets dealing with pitching challenges, the over seems like a solid play. The combination of an explosive Dodgers offense and a Mets bullpen that has been stretched thin creates an ideal scenario for runs. Given the stakes of Game 5, both teams will be pushing to score, further increasing the likelihood of exceeding the total of 7.5 runs.

MLB - American League Championship Series (Game 4): New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians

Pick: Over 7.5 / Wager: 3%

Bullpen Fatigue Raises Concerns:

As we head into Game 4 of the ALCS, both pitching staffs seem to be showing signs of fatigue, particularly the bullpens. The Yankees have been scrambling since Luis Gil was shelled by the Pirates on September 28, allowing six runs (including four homers) in just 5 2/3 innings. This has left the bullpen a bit overworked, and last night’s extra-inning battle didn’t help either. Cleveland managed to claw back for a win, adding pressure to both teams.

Inconsistent Starters:

On the flip side, we have Gavin Williams, who hasn’t pitched since September 22 due to a 5.55 ERA over his last ten starts. With both starters coming off extended absences, it’s reasonable to expect both offenses to take advantage of their opponents’ pitching struggles. The Yankees need length from Gil after using six relievers in Game 3, and with Ian Hamilton leaving with an injury, the depth of their bullpen is in question.

Relievers Are Key:

The Guardians also used seven relievers behind Matthew Boyd in Game 3, and none of their high-leverage arms have pitched in multi-inning stints so far. Expect Cleveland’s manager, Stephen Vogt, to deploy his bullpen aggressively behind Williams, who has shown some decent strikeout stuff but could be vulnerable against the Yankees’ explosive offense, which led MLB with a 120 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season.

Offensive Matchups Favor Scoring:

Given that both teams have struggled with their starters and may rely heavily on their bullpens, we see a lot of potential for runs in this matchup. Williams faced the Yankees once this season and struggled, and with the Yankees’ high-octane offense, it’s tough to see this game staying under 7.5 runs. Look for the bats to come alive as both lineups exploit the pitching weaknesses.

NCAAF: Oregon at Purdue

Pick: Purdue +28.5 / Wager: 2%

Trap Game Alert for Oregon:

In what would normally be a straightforward win for Oregon, this matchup against Purdue has all the makings of a potential trap game. Coming off an exhilarating and physically demanding victory over Ohio State last Saturday, the Ducks may find themselves vulnerable as they travel on a short week. Big Ten teams making cross-country trips have struggled this season, with a record of 3-10 SU and 4-9 ATS when traveling at least two time zones.

Purdue’s Fresh Start:

Purdue recently made a quarterback change due to injury, introducing Ryan Browne, who impressed in his first NCAA start by throwing for nearly 300 yards and three touchdowns while also rushing for 118 yards. This shift could be just what embattled coach Ryan Walters needed to rejuvenate the team. Despite their disappointing season, the Boilermakers nearly pulled off an upset against ranked Illinois after rallying from a 24-point deficit, ultimately falling in overtime.

Motivation and Composure:

With Browne settling in and finding his rhythm, the Boilermakers might approach this game with a fresh perspective and renewed vigor. While Oregon is likely feeling the high of their recent victory, they must now navigate the pressures of travel and potential complacency. Browne should enter this game more composed than in his debut, giving Purdue a fighting chance.

NCAAF: Fresno State at Nevada

Pick: Nevada +3.5 / Wager: 3%

Momentum Favors Nevada:

Tonight’s matchup in Reno presents an intriguing opportunity as the Wolf Pack, under new head coach Jeff Choate, are gaining momentum while being offered points against Fresno State. Choate has been effective in rebuilding the program, utilizing key portal additions to boost the roster. Notably, last week’s standout performance from former Colorado QB Brendon Lewis and ex-Texas RB Savion Red, who combined for 288 rushing yards in their victory over Oregon State, showcases the newfound firepower of the Wolf Pack.

Fresno State’s Struggles:

On the other hand, Fresno State is facing a critical juncture under interim head coach Tim Skipper. The Bulldogs have endured a rough patch, including a devastating 59-14 loss to UNLV that raises concerns about the team’s direction and Skipper’s future. As the losses mount, players and staff may begin to look ahead to potential changes, which could affect their focus and performance on the field.

NHL: Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins
Pick: Over 6.5 @ +100 / Wager: 2%

Offensive Firepower:
The Penguins are lighting up the scoreboard, averaging four goals per game, led by Evgeni Malkin's impressive start with 11 points early in the season. Their offensive depth and ability to score in bunches create a favorable environment for hitting the over in this matchup.

Defensive Struggles:
However, Pittsburgh's defensive woes are hard to ignore, as goalies Tristan Jarry and Joel Blomqvist have combined for a concerning 4.20 goals against average (GAA) and an .878 save percentage. This defensive vulnerability opens the door for the Hurricanes to find scoring opportunities.

Canes' Recent Performance:
Carolina, despite having played fewer games due to a postponement last week, showed they can score when it counts, as evidenced by their 4-2 victory over the Devils. Rookie Jackson Blake's first NHL goal adds an exciting dynamic to the Canes' offense, which can be expected to put pressure on the Penguins' struggling defense.

NHL: San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets
Pick: Jets -1.5 / Wager: 2%

Injury Struggles for the Sharks:
The Sharks are facing a tough start to the season, still searching for their first win and dealing with significant injury issues. The absence of top overall pick Macklin Celebrini, who is eligible to return but won't be playing, severely limits San Jose's offensive capabilities. This makes it difficult for them to compete against a solid Jets team.

Jets' Dominance at Home:
The Jets are looking to capitalize on this opportunity, especially with the Sharks coming off a back-to-back game. Winnipeg's home-ice advantage should be a significant factor, and their roster depth gives them a clear edge in this matchup. Given the Sharks' current form and injury woes, it's hard to see how Winnipeg loses this game.

Alternative Betting Options:
While the Jets -1.5 offers good value, considering the potential for a close game, it's worth exploring alternative lines if your sportsbook provides them. A Jets -0.5 regulation bet could be appealing as it still allows for a win even if Winnipeg secures a one-goal victory without overtime.