BrownBagBets NFL Release (Prop Bets)- Sunday, October 1st, 2023
Good morning, NFL enthusiasts! It’s a brand new month, which means we’re resetting our bankrolls and gearing up for a thrilling day of football. Take your winnings out, and let’s make October another profitable month together!!! With the MLB winding down the regular season, our focus is entirely on the gridiron today. Let’s dive into our top 5 props for the day, listed in order of start time:
1. Kirk Over 50.5 Receiving Yards
• Matchup: Atlanta @ Jacksonville (International Series)
• Kickoff: 9:30 am, ESPN+
• Bankroll Recommendation: 3%
• Insight: Kirk has been targeted 20 times over the past two games. With Zay Jones out, he’s poised to be even more involved. The Falcons’ defense has shown vulnerability against slot receivers, making this a prime opportunity for Kirk.
2. Hockenson Over 4.5 Catches
• Matchup: Minnesota @ Carolina
• Kickoff: 1 pm, FOX
• Bankroll Recommendation: 3%
• Insight: Averaging 8 targets a game with no less than 7 catches, Hockenson’s consistency is hard to ignore. Given his involvement in the offense, this prop feels like a solid choice.
3. Williams Anytime TD
• Matchup: LA @ Indianapolis
• Kickoff: 1 pm, FOX
• Bankroll Recommendation: 3%
• Insight: As a three-down back, Williams is heavily involved in the offense. Despite not finding the end zone last week, he’s logged more snaps than any other RB. Considering Indy’s defense has allowed 4 rushing TDs in their first 3 games, Williams stands a good chance to score.
4. Higgins Over 58.5 Receiving Yards
• Matchup: Cincinnati @ Tennessee
• Kickoff: 1 pm, FOX
• Bankroll Recommendation: 3%
• Insight: Higgins’ season may have started slow, but his consistent targets indicate trust from Burrow. Facing a pass-friendly Tennessee defense, this could be Higgins’ breakout game.
5. Stroud Over 0.5 Interceptions
• Matchup: Pittsburgh @ Houston
• Kickoff: 1 pm, CBS
• Bankroll Recommendation: 3%
• Insight: History suggests rookie QBs like Stroud are prone to multi-pick games. Given Pittsburgh’s aggressive defense, Stroud might find himself under pressure, leading to potential mistakes. No rookie QB has started their career with 4 games and no INTs since 2019 other then Gardner Minshew.
Closing Thoughts: With a lot of money in play today, let’s make it count! Remember to follow our bankroll guidance, trust the process, and enjoy the games. Best of luck, and as always, bet responsibly!
Your trusted team at BrownBagBets.
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