BrownBagBets College Football Release - Saturday, September 30th, 2023

Good morning, gridiron fans! We’ve expanded our slate of college football action today. Here are our insights, in order of kickoff time:

1. Utah State @ UConn, 12pm Kickoff (CBSSports Network)

• Pick: Under 51.5

• Bankroll Recommendation: 5%

• Insight: UConn’s offense has been notably quiet this season, not even totaling 52 points across their games. With multiple site projections leaning towards the under and significant sharp money backing it, we feel confident in this pick.

2. S. Alabama @ James Madison, 12pm Kickoff (ESPNU)

• Pick: JMU ML

• Bankroll Recommendation: 5%

• Insight: The line movement has been intriguing, making JMU’s ML even more attractive. Coupled with their formidable rush defense and the backing of significant money, we’re feeling bullish about the home team’s chances.

3. Penn State @ Northwestern, Noon Kickoff (Big Ten Network)

• Pick: Penn State -26.5

• Bankroll Recommendation: 5%

• Insight: While Penn State has big matchups ahead, their current form suggests they’re eyeing a playoff spot. Their impressive 10-0-1 ATS record in recent games further solidifies our confidence in this pick.

4. USC @ Colorado, Noon Kickoff (Fox)

• Pick: Under 74

• Bankroll Recommendation: 5%

• Insight: An early local kickoff time might lead to a sluggish start for both teams. USC’s strategy of resting key players when ahead, combined with the Deion hype possibly inflating the total, makes the under a solid choice.

5. Illinois @ Purdue, 3:30 pm Kickoff (Peacock)

• Pick: Under 54

• Bankroll Recommendation: 5%

• Insight: This is a crucial game for both teams. Their combined 5-2 record favoring the under, along with Illinois’ penchant for controlling the clock, suggests a game where both teams might struggle to light up the scoreboard.

6. Boise State @ Memphis, 4pm Kickoff (ESPN2)

• Pick: Memphis ML

• Bankroll Recommendation: 5%

• Insight: With a staggering 85% of the public backing Boise State, this game presents a golden opportunity to go against the grain. Several professional cappers we respect are also spotlighting Memphis, further boosting our confidence.

7. Charlotte @ SMU, 7:30 pm Kickoff (ESPNU)

• Pick: Over 52.5

• Bankroll Recommendation: 5%

• Insight: SMU has a track record of high-scoring affairs, especially against teams like Charlotte. Given Charlotte’s defensive lapses against teams like Maryland and Georgia State, and with SportsLine’s projections, we see a high-scoring game on the horizon.

8. Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern, 7 pm Kickoff (NFL Network)

• Pick: Coastal Carolina +6

• Bankroll Recommendation: 7.5%

• Insight: Coastal Carolina’s extended rest period contrasts sharply with Georgia Southern’s packed schedule. Given Georgia Southern’s defensive issues and the potential for Coastal Carolina’s QB to have a standout game, we’re leaning heavily towards the under⬤