Refreshed and Ready: Back from Vegas to Close Out January Strong

Back from Vegas – Refreshed, Refocused, and Ready to Roll:
After a rare two-day break, we’re back and ready to attack the board! We don’t step away often throughout the year, but following our five-day Board Retreat in Las Vegas, the time off was well-earned and much needed. Now, we’re refreshed, refocused, and reenergized, with our sights set on closing out January strong.

Finishing January with Momentum:
With seven days left in the month, the focus is clear: execute the system, stay disciplined, and finish with cash above where we started. Our approach—calculated plays, data-backed decisions, and consistent management—is designed for stretches just like this. We’re locked in and ready to deliver.

Today’s Slate – NCAAB, NBA, and NHL Action:

• College Basketball:

  • Conference play continues, with strong matchups across the board to analyze and target.

• NBA:

  • Key games tonight provide value for smart, disciplined plays.

• NHL:

  • Select opportunities on the ice round out today’s action.

Final Thought – Let’s Get Back to It:
The break is over, the team is ready, and the board is stacked. As we dive into the final week of January, let’s focus on the process, execute with precision, and make this month one to remember.

It’s go time. Let’s crush it!

NCAAB: Maine at UMass Lowell

Pick: UMass Lowell ML / Wager: 3%

Analysis

UMass Lowell comes into this matchup as a strong home team, boasting an impressive 38-2 record at home since the start of the 2022-23 season. Despite a 2-2 start in America East play, the River Hawks have faced a tougher schedule and remain one of the top teams in the conference, as reflected by their second-place prediction in the preseason poll.

Their offensive efficiency is notable, as they lead the league and rank 20th nationally in field goal percentage, shooting 49.1%. Maine, while off to a good start at 4-1 in conference play, has benefited from a lighter schedule. This game represents a tougher challenge on the road against a disciplined and efficient UMass Lowell squad.

Betting Indicators

• Home Dominance: UMass Lowell is 38-2 at home since the start of last season.

• Offensive Efficiency: The River Hawks lead the America East in field goal percentage and rank 20th nationally at 49.1%.

• Strength of Schedule: UMass Lowell’s two conference losses came against tougher opponents, including league-leading Vermont.

• Maine’s Road Struggles: Maine is less experienced in high-pressure road environments, which could factor into their performance against a strong home team.

Projection

UMass Lowell 74, Maine 67

The River Hawks’ home-court dominance, combined with their offensive efficiency and superior strength of schedule, positions them to take care of business in this matchup. Expect UMass Lowell to use their shooting prowess and familiarity at home to secure a solid victory.

NCAAB: North Florida at Queens

Pick: Queens -4 / Wager: 4%

Analysis

Queens enters this matchup in strong form, having lost just twice since early December, with those defeats coming against tough opponents in Ole Miss and surging Florida Gulf Coast. The Royals have shown notable improvement during ASUN play, particularly on the defensive side of the ball, where North Florida continues to struggle, ranking near the bottom of the conference in defensive efficiency.

Queens' dominance on the glass is another key advantage. The Royals lead the ASUN in both offensive and defensive rebounding, which should create second-chance opportunities and limit North Florida's possessions. Additionally, their ability to convert at the free-throw line (second in the ASUN in FT%) provides a reliable source of points in close games.

This matchup sets up as a fast-paced, high-scoring affair, and Queens' rebounding prowess and ability to cash in at the charity stripe make them well-positioned to cover the modest 4-point spread at home.

Betting Indicators

• Home Dominance: Queens has been consistently strong at home this season.

• Rebounding Edge: Queens leads the ASUN in both offensive and defensive rebounding, giving them a clear edge on the boards.

• Free Throw Advantage: Queens ranks second in the ASUN in FT%, a critical factor in close, high-scoring games.

• Defensive Concerns for North Florida: North Florida ranks near the bottom of the ASUN in defensive efficiency, a liability against a well-rounded offensive team like Queens.

Projection

Final Score: Queens 84, North Florida 76

Expect Queens to control the tempo through rebounding and capitalize on North Florida’s defensive issues to secure a comfortable win and cover the spread.

NCAAB: Lipscomb at North Alabama

Pick: North Alabama +1.5 / Wager: 4%

Analysis

Lipscomb's 5-1 ASUN record is misleading, as most of those wins have come against lower-tier conference opponents. They now face a North Alabama team that thrives at home, boasting a 7-1 SU and ATS record in Florence this season. The Lions' offensive efficiency is driven by their 59% shooting from inside the arc, an area where Lipscomb has struggled defensively.

The Bisons rely heavily on three-point shooting, but North Alabama has the tools to counter that, ranking second in the ASUN in perimeter defense during conference play. Additionally, North Alabama has faced tougher competition within the ASUN, making them more battle-tested and equipped to handle this matchup. With their strong home performance and ability to exploit Lipscomb’s defensive vulnerabilities, the Lions have the edge to win outright but also provide value as a home underdog.

Betting Indicators

• Home Court Advantage: North Alabama is 7-1 SU and ATS at home this season.

• Efficient Scoring: The Lions are shooting 59% inside the arc, exposing Lipscomb's struggles in defending close-range attempts.

• Perimeter Defense: North Alabama ranks second in the ASUN in three-point defense, a key factor against Lipscomb’s reliance on outside shooting.

• Strength of Competition: North Alabama has faced tougher ASUN opponents, making them better prepared for this game.

Projection

Final Score: North Alabama 72, Lipscomb 68

Expect North Alabama to capitalize on its strengths inside the arc and leverage its home-court advantage to secure both the cover and outright win.

NCAAB: Campbell at Stony Brook

Pick: Campbell ML / Wager: 3%

Analysis

The Campbell Camels are hitting their stride, showing strong form since returning from the holiday break. They’ve covered five of their last seven games and have been competitive against strong opponents, including holding their own at CAA powers Charleston and UNC Wilmington. Their performance as a surprising favorite this season highlights their upward trend.

Meanwhile, Stony Brook is mired in a seven-game losing streak, struggling to find success in conference play, with home-court advantage offering little solace. Even their best recent effort—a close loss at Towson—wasn’t enough to turn things around. As the grind of the season wears on, Campbell appears to have the momentum and focus to capitalize on Stony Brook’s struggles.

Betting Indicators

• Recent Form: Campbell has covered five of their last seven games and competed well against top-tier CAA teams.

• Stony Brook’s Struggles: The Seawolves are winless in their last seven games and haven’t won a conference game this season.

• Momentum Factor: Campbell has been trending positively, while Stony Brook continues to show vulnerability, especially at home.

Projection

Campbell 68, Stony Brook 63

Campbell’s recent form and ability to stay competitive against stronger competition give them the edge in this matchup. Expect the Camels to pull out the win against a struggling Stony Brook team unable to find solutions in conference play.

NCAAB: South Dakota State at Kansas City

Pick: Over 142.5 / Wager: 4%

Analysis

While Kansas City typically operates at a slower pace under Marvin Menzies, they’ve shown they can adjust and speed things up when necessary. The Roos also received a boost last week with the return of G Anderson Kopp (13 ppg), adding another scoring option to complement senior G Jamar Brown (15.8 ppg, 40% 3PT). This balance gives Kansas City the ability to keep pace in higher-scoring contests.

South Dakota State, on the other hand, thrives in uptempo games, boasting an impressive 80.2 ppg offense. The Jackrabbits have a potent weapon in 6-11 C Oscar Cluff, a Washington State transfer who’s averaging 17.4 ppg. Cluff’s interior presence forces opposing defenses to stay honest, opening up opportunities on the perimeter for South Dakota State’s shooters. This dynamic, combined with Kansas City’s ability to adapt, sets the stage for a game that exceeds the total.

Betting Indicators

• South Dakota State’s Offensive Firepower: The Jackrabbits average 80.2 ppg and thrive in high-tempo games.

• Kansas City’s Adjustability: The Roos have shown they can play at a faster pace when required, with multiple scoring threats returning to the lineup.

• Historical Trends: Both teams have participated in higher-scoring contests recently, making this total achievable.

Projection

Final Score: South Dakota State 79, Kansas City 73

Expect a competitive game with plenty of scoring opportunities as South Dakota State’s high-octane offense forces Kansas City to push the pace, leading to a comfortable over.

NCAAB: Seattle at Texas Arlington

Pick: Texas Arlington +2 / Wager: 4%

Analysis

This game feels similar to recent matchups where home underdogs have thrived. Texas Arlington is still hunting for their first conference win, but this could be the perfect spot to break through. Seattle, tied for second in the WAC, has struggled on the road with a 2-6 SU record and is 0-2 ATS as road favorites. The Redhawks’ vulnerabilities away from home make them ripe for an upset.

This marks the first time UT-Arlington is a home underdog this season, and they’ll benefit from a week of rest and the return of key players as they get healthier. Despite their recent struggles, the Mavericks have been solid at home with a 4-2 SU record. They also thrive on three-point shooting, hitting at an impressive 51.4% at home compared to Seattle’s 45% shooting on the road. Arlington’s ability to stretch the floor and defend effectively could be the deciding factor in this game.

Betting Indicators

• Seattle’s Road Struggles: 2-6 SU and 0-2 ATS as away favorites this season.

• Home Advantage: UT-Arlington is 4-2 SU at home and shooting 51.4% from three at home.

• Rest Factor: UT-Arlington has had a week off to regroup and get healthy.

• Seattle’s Defensive Woes: The Redhawks are allowing opponents to shoot over 45% from the field on the road.

Projection

Final Score: Texas Arlington 71, Seattle 68

Expect the Mavericks to leverage their shooting efficiency and home-court advantage to pull off the minor upset and secure their first conference win.

NCAAB: St. Thomas (MN) at Nebraska-Omaha

Pick: Over 154.5 / Wager: 4%

Analysis

The Summit League is known for high-scoring games, and this matchup fits the mold perfectly. St. Thomas boasts one of the most efficient offenses in the league, scoring an impressive 86 points per game. If they were eligible for NCAA statistical rankings, they would sit in the top 10 nationally. The Tommies thrive on three-point shooting, with multiple players hitting over 40% from beyond the arc, led by Carter Bjerke, who has already knocked down 46 triples this season. This offensive firepower has contributed to St. Thomas' 11-4-1 over record in their last 16 games.

On the other side, Nebraska-Omaha has been red-hot offensively, averaging nearly 84 points per game during their seven-game win streak. Their balanced scoring attack, led by Marquel Sutton, should help keep the pace high and contribute to the scoreboard lighting up. Both teams prioritize offense over defense, making the over a strong play in what should be a shootout.

Betting Indicators

• High-Scoring Teams: St. Thomas averages 86 ppg, and Omaha averages 84 ppg during their win streak.

• Three-Point Efficiency: St. Thomas has four players shooting over 40% from deep, with a team average of better than 40%.

• Over Trends: St. Thomas is on an 11-4-1 over run, and Summit League games have consistently produced high totals this season.

• Pace of Play: Both teams thrive in uptempo games, with offenses built around quick ball movement and efficient shooting.

Projection

Final Score: St. Thomas 88, Nebraska-Omaha 82

Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring affair where both teams trade buckets and easily clear the total of 154.5.

NCAAB: Appalachian State at Arkansas State

Pick: Appalachian State +7.5 / Wager: 4%

Analysis

Appalachian State is surging, riding a five-game winning streak into this critical Sun Belt clash in Jonesboro. Dustin Kerns' squad has leaned on its defensive strengths, holding opponents to just 54 points per game during this stretch. The Mountaineers are firing on all cylinders offensively, led by former Butler transfer Myles Tate, who has scored 20+ points in five of the last seven games. Complementing Tate is 6-11 senior center CJ Huntley, who's hitting his stride with three consecutive 20+ point performances.

Arkansas State has also been competitive in Sun Belt play but struggles with shooting consistency. The Red Wolves' 41.7% field goal percentage and 31.6% three-point shooting could hinder their ability to create separation, especially against a disciplined Appalachian State defense. With the Mountaineers' balanced attack and defensive intensity, they are well-positioned to keep this game within the number, if not win outright.

Betting Indicators

• Recent Form: Appalachian State has won five straight games, allowing just 54 ppg during the streak.

• Key Contributors: Myles Tate and CJ Huntley are peaking, providing consistent offensive production for the Mountaineers.

• Arkansas State's Shooting Woes: The Red Wolves' subpar shooting percentages (41.7% FG, 31.6% 3PT) leave them vulnerable against a strong defensive team like App State.

• ATS Trends: Appalachian State has covered in four of their last five games as an underdog.

Projection

Final Score: Arkansas State 68, Appalachian State 64

With App State's defensive prowess and offensive momentum, they should comfortably cover the +7.5 spread.

NCAAB: Northern Arizona at Eastern Washington

Pick: Eastern Washington -2.5 / Wager: 4%

Analysis

Eastern Washington has settled into a groove at Reese Court, winning four of their last five home games. After spending much of the season on the road, EWU is primed to defend its home court tonight. Dan Monson’s squad has been able to count on D-II transfer guard Andrew Cook (15.6 ppg), who continues to deliver offensively, including a 21-point effort in the recent game at Montana State. While second-leading scorer Nic McClain struggled in Bozeman (2-for-9 shooting), he had been highly efficient in the seven games prior, shooting 50% or better. A bounce-back performance from McClain should bolster the Eagles' attack.

Northern Arizona, meanwhile, has struggled on the road, still searching for its first Big Sky away win. The Lumberjacks lean heavily on Trent McLaughlin (21.9 ppg), but relying on one player to carry the load against a deeper and more balanced EWU lineup may not suffice.

Betting Indicators

• Home Advantage: EWU has won 4 of its last 5 games at Reese Court, showing comfort on their home floor.

• NAU's Road Struggles: The Lumberjacks are winless on the road in Big Sky play.

• Key Player Consistency: Andrew Cook has been a reliable offensive weapon for EWU, and Nic McClain is due for a bounce-back game.

• Depth Edge: EWU’s balanced scoring attack outpaces NAU’s reliance on a single star.

Projection

Eastern Washington 76, Northern Arizona 70

With the combination of home-court advantage, consistent production from Cook, and a likely improved showing from McClain, Eastern Washington is in a strong position to cover this modest spread against a struggling Northern Arizona team.

NCAAB: Pepperdine at Oregon State

Pick: Over 141.5 / Wager: 4%

Analysis

Both teams bring plenty of offensive firepower into this non-conference clash. Oregon State has been on a roll offensively under Wayne Tinkle, scoring an impressive 78 ppg during their recent stretch. Four straight games have gone over for the Beavers, who feature 6-9 F Michael Rataj as their offensive catalyst. Rataj is coming off a dominant 29-point outing in a 97-79 upset win over Gonzaga, showcasing his ability to exploit defenses.

Pepperdine, while struggling against physical teams like Saint Mary’s and San Francisco, thrives in high-scoring affairs. They’ve consistently put up points against faster-paced opponents like Pacific, Gonzaga, and Santa Clara, with each of those games sailing over the total. With both teams favoring an up-tempo style and neither defense being particularly stout, this modest total of 141.5 seems within reach.

Betting Indicators

• Oregon State’s Offensive Surge: The Beavers are averaging 78 ppg over their last nine games, with eight of those going over.

• Pepperdine’s Scoring Pace: The Waves have consistently hit the over against teams that play a faster tempo, such as Gonzaga and Santa Clara.

• Matchup Trends: Both teams prefer to run, and this sets up as a track meet given their offensive tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities.

Projection

Final Score: Oregon State 80, Pepperdine 74

With both offenses clicking and neither team offering much resistance on defense, expect plenty of scoring opportunities to push this game well over the total.

NCAAB: Weber State at Portland State

Pick: Portland State -3.5 / Wager: 4%

Analysis

Weber State finds itself in unfamiliar territory at the bottom of the Big Sky standings, struggling to find consistency even with top scorer Blaise Threatt (16.9 ppg) available. While Threatt is expected to return from illness, Weber State has lost four of its last five games with him in the lineup, signaling deeper issues for the Wildcats.

Portland State, on the other hand, is surging offensively, averaging 79 points per game under head coach Jace Coburn. Their depth has been a key factor, with contributions from standout sixth-man candidate Cole Farrell, who has scored 13 points in back-to-back games, complementing the production of leading scorer Jaylin Henderson (La Tech transfer). The Vikings’ ability to use their bench and control the tempo makes them a tough matchup for a Weber State team struggling on both ends of the floor.

Betting Indicators

• Weber State's Form: The Wildcats have lost 6 of their last 7 Big Sky games and rank near the bottom of the conference in offensive efficiency.

• Portland State at Home: PSU has covered the spread in 4 of its last 5 home games.

• Offensive Depth: Portland State’s balanced scoring attack, led by Henderson and Farrell, is averaging 79 ppg, giving them a clear edge over Weber's inconsistent offense.

Projection

Portland State: 82
Weber State: 73

With their offensive firepower and home-court advantage, Portland State is in an excellent position to cover this spread and extend Weber State’s struggles in Big Sky play.

NHL: Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers

Pick: Rangers ML / Wager: 3%

Analysis

The Rangers are back in form, riding a nine-game unbeaten streak (6-0-3) as their star players and goaltender Igor Shesterkin return to peak performance. Shesterkin has been lights-out recently, recording back-to-back shutouts and extending his shutout streak to 164:03, just shy of his career-best. Fully healthy, the Rangers look poised to handle the visiting Flyers.

Philadelphia comes into this matchup on a three-game win streak, thanks largely to strong play from Samuel Ersson in net. However, Ersson has not started four consecutive games this season, and with the Flyers playing again Friday, we may see one of their backups instead. Regardless, the Flyers face a tall order against a surging Rangers team at Madison Square Garden, where the Blueshirts have been dominant.

Betting Indicators

• Rangers’ Momentum: 6-0-3 in their last nine games, including two consecutive shutouts by Igor Shesterkin.

• Shesterkin's Form: 164:03 shutout streak, reflecting his return to elite goaltending form.

• Flyers’ Goaltending Uncertainty: Samuel Ersson has been strong, but the Flyers may turn to a backup for this game.

• Home-Ice Advantage: The Rangers are 13-5-4 at Madison Square Garden this season.

Projection

New York Rangers 3, Philadelphia Flyers 1

The Rangers’ recent dominance and Shesterkin’s stellar play should be enough to secure the win against a Flyers team likely to rotate their goaltending. Expect New York to continue their surge and handle Philadelphia at home.

NHL: Utah Hockey Club at Minnesota Wild

Pick: Wild ML / Wager: 3%

Analysis

The Wild receive a huge boost with the return of their leading scorer Kirill Kaprizov and captain Jared Spurgeon, two key pieces who have been sidelined due to injuries. Their presence will bolster both Minnesota's offensive firepower and defensive stability. The Wild have also been strong at home, and with a fully healthy lineup, they look ready to take care of business against a Utah team entering a tough scheduling spot.

Utah faces its first road test since January 4, compounded by the fact that this is the front end of a back-to-back. Additionally, their top defenseman, Mikhail Sergachev (30 points), remains in doubt, further hindering their chances. This combination of factors favors the Wild heavily.

Betting Indicators

• Wild Home Form: Minnesota is 13-7-1 at home, leveraging strong performances in front of their fans.

• Key Players Return: Kaprizov (leading scorer) and Spurgeon (captain) rejoin the lineup, restoring Minnesota’s depth and balance.

• Scheduling Advantage: Utah faces the front end of a back-to-back and hasn't played on the road in over two weeks.

• Utah’s Defensive Doubt: Mikhail Sergachev's potential absence leaves a significant hole in Utah’s blueline.

Projection

Minnesota Wild 4, Utah Hockey Club 2

The Wild should take full advantage of Utah's scheduling challenges and potential injuries while riding the momentum of key player returns. Minnesota's home dominance and added firepower make them the clear choice in this matchup.

NBA: Portland Trail Blazers at Orlando Magic

Pick: Blazers +8.5 / Wager: 3%

Analysis

The Magic have failed to meet expectations recently, struggling with consistency and failing to deliver as home favorites. Orlando is just 2-5 in their last seven games, with a dismal 2-6 ATS record in their last eight at home. Additionally, they’ve gone 0-4 ATS in their last four games when favored by 3 or more points. Despite high hopes for Paolo Banchero’s impact, the Magic haven’t been able to sustain momentum, and their inefficiency as home favorites remains a concern.

On the other side, the Blazers have been playing inspired basketball, showing a strong team dynamic and sharing the ball effectively. Portland has covered five straight on the road and boasts a solid 12-9-1 ATS record as road underdogs this season. Furthermore, they’ve shown success against Eastern Conference opponents, covering 6 of their last 9 matchups.

Betting Indicators

• Magic ATS Struggles: Orlando is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games and 0-4 ATS when favored by 3 or more.

• Blazers Road Form: Portland has covered 5 straight on the road and is 12-9-1 ATS as a road underdog this season.

• Eastern Conference Matchups: Blazers are 6-3 ATS against Eastern Conference opponents.

• Potential Upset: Portland’s recent form and Orlando’s struggles as favorites make the Blazers live underdogs.

Projection

Portland Trail Blazers 112, Orlando Magic 108

The Blazers’ recent momentum and the Magic’s inability to cover as home favorites make this an excellent spot for Portland to keep it close—or potentially pull off an outright win.

NBA: Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks

Pick: Bucks -6.5 / Wager: 3%

Analysis

The Bucks come into this matchup in strong form, having won 7 of their last 8 games with an average margin of victory of 15 points. Their offensive firepower has been on full display, scoring 121+ points in 6 of their last 8 games. The extra day off due to the postponed game against the Pelicans should benefit key players like Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton, ensuring they're fresh for this contest.

The Heat, meanwhile, are dealing with internal struggles, including more Jimmy Butler suspension drama. Miami has lost 4 of its last 5 games and has been an unreliable road team, going just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 away games. They’ve also failed to cover in 7 of their last 10 games overall. The Heat’s offensive woes make it difficult to keep pace with Milwaukee, especially with the Bucks finding their groove offensively.

Betting Indicators

• Bucks’ Recent Dominance: Milwaukee has won 7 of its last 8 games, covering 6 of those contests.

• Large Margins in Wins: Eleven of the Bucks' last 12 wins have been by 8+ points.

• Heat Road Struggles: Miami is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 road games and 7-16 ATS with one day off.

• Offensive Advantage: Bucks have scored 121+ in 6 of their last 8 games, while the Heat have struggled offensively, especially without Jimmy Butler.

Projection

Milwaukee Bucks 118, Miami Heat 106

Milwaukee’s offensive rhythm and Miami’s continued struggles on the road make this a favorable spot for the Bucks to cover the spread. Expect a strong showing from Giannis and Middleton to keep the Bucks rolling.

NBA: Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder

Pick: PJ Washington Over 21.5 Points + Rebounds / Wager: 4%

Analysis

With Dereck Lively II sidelined due to a foot injury, the Mavericks are struggling to match up inside, creating an ideal opportunity for P.J. Washington to thrive once again. Washington has hit this over in four consecutive games, including a recent meeting with the Thunder where he tallied 16 points and seven rebounds.

The Thunder are also dealing with injuries at the center position, forcing them to play small ball, which further benefits Washington’s ability to control the paint and exploit mismatches. His usage in the absence of Lively has been consistent, and with his scoring and rebounding opportunities elevated in this matchup, he’s well-positioned to clear this mark once again.

Betting Indicators

• Recent Form: P.J. Washington has exceeded 21.5 combined points and rebounds in four straight games.

• Last Thunder Matchup: Recorded 16 points and 7 rebounds against OKC, showcasing his ability to produce in this matchup.

• Thunder's Small Lineups: Injuries at center have forced OKC to play smaller, increasing Washington’s opportunities on the boards and in the paint.

Projection

P.J. Washington: 18 points, 8 rebounds (Total: 26)

Washington’s consistent performances and the favorable matchup dynamics make this prop a strong play. Expect him to continue his streak and hit this over comfortably.

NBA: Chicago Bulls at Golden State Warriors

Pick: Nikola Vucevic Over 10.5 Rebounds / Wager: 4%

Analysis

This matchup is a perfect setup for Nikola Vucevic to dominate the glass. The Warriors are dealing with significant frontcourt absences, with Draymond Green (calf) and Jonathan Kuminga (ankle) ruled out, and Kevon Looney potentially sidelined due to illness. Even at full strength, Golden State struggles in rebounding, ranking among the bottom third of the league in rebounds allowed per game.

Vucevic has been a rebounding machine, grabbing at least 11 boards in 10 of his last 13 games, and he should have little resistance in this contest. With the Warriors' thin frontcourt and their propensity to play at a high pace, more rebounding opportunities should be available for Vucevic, making this a strong play.

Betting Indicators

• Warriors Rebounding Struggles: Golden State ranks 23rd in rebounds allowed per game and often struggles on the boards against dominant big men.

• Vucevic's Consistency: Vucevic has hit this line in 10 of his last 13 games, averaging 12.2 rebounds per game over that stretch.

• Matchup Impact: The Warriors' small-ball lineup and injuries provide a clear path for Vucevic to dominate the boards.

Projection

Vucevic: 13 rebounds

With a thin Warriors frontcourt and consistent rebounding performance from Vucevic, expect him to comfortably exceed this line.