BrownBagBets NFL Sunday Full Day Release - October 1, 2023

Good afternoon, NFL fans! With a strong start to our day thanks to Kirk and the Jaguars, we’re rolling into the rest of Sunday’s matchups with momentum. Here are our top picks for the day:

1. Vikings @ Panthers, 1 pm (FOX)

• Pick: Vikings -4

• Bankroll Recommendation: 3%

• Insight: Our trusted system, boasting a 60% hit rate, is flagging the Vikings. Early-season matchups between winless teams in weeks 3-6 tend to favor the visitors. Both teams are winless, but the Vikings have shown more promise in their gameplay, making them a solid pick.

2. Broncos @ Bears, 1 pm (CBS)

• Pick: Over 45.5

• Bankroll Recommendation: 3%

• Insight: Sharp money is flowing in on the over, and we’re siding against the public majority. The Broncos’ defense has been porous lately, allowing TDs in 14 out of their last 21 drives. With both teams having offensive potential, we expect a high-scoring affair.

3. Buccaneers @ Saints, 1 pm (FOX)

• Pick: Buccaneers +4

• Bankroll Recommendation: 3%

• Insight: With Mayfield limiting turnovers, we’re confident in the Bucs. Several pro cappers we respect are also backing this pick. With Carr out and Winston’s inconsistency, we’re leaning towards Tampa Bay. The Bucs have shown resilience and adaptability in tight spots.

4. Ravens @ Browns, 1 pm (CBS)

• Pick: Under 38.5

• Bankroll Recommendation: 3%

• Insight: Sharp money is signaling the under, and we’re fading the 75% of average gamblers on the over. Both teams have had moments of defensive brilliance, and with key players stepping up, we expect a low-scoring game.

5. Bills @ Dolphins, 1 pm (CBS)

• Pick: Bills ML

• Bankroll Recommendation: 3%

• Insight: The -3 line for the Dolphins seems too generous after their recent win. We’re fading the public and playing it safe with the Bills ML. The Bills have consistently shown they can handle pressure, making them a safer bet in this matchup.

6. Chiefs @ Jets, 8:15 pm

• Pick: Chiefs -8

• Bankroll Recommendation: 3%

• Insight: We’re continuing to fade Zach Wilson. The Chiefs’ offense has been silently racking up yards, while the Jets have been stagnant. With Mahomes at the helm and the Chiefs’ offense finding its rhythm, we’re expecting a dominant performance.

Closing Thoughts: Let’s keep the momentum going and close out the day strong. Remember to stick to our bankroll guidance and enjoy the games. Best of luck, and as always, bet responsibly!

Your trusted team at BrownBagBets.