Momentum Rising: The Money Train Is Back on Track

Another Strong Day – The Wins Keep Coming:
Yesterday delivered another great result: 7-4 across three sports, winning in each one, and adding 6% to our bankrolls. We now sit at 108% of where we started January, proving that the tough December is firmly behind us. Things are getting back to normal, and the wins are rolling in.

For those new to BrownBagBets, this is the moment to lock in and stay with us. The money train is picking up steam, and January is setting the tone for what promises to be a special 2025. In 2024, we delivered consistent passive income for our community, month after month, and this year we’re poised to do it again—bigger and better than ever.

Building Momentum, Creating Results:
BrownBagBets isn’t about luck—it’s about strategy, discipline, and a proven system. The goal isn’t to chase wins for a single day; it’s to deliver consistent results that build financial gains month by month.

Yesterday’s strong showing is a perfect example of what happens when we trust the process. Wins across NCAAB, NBA, and NHL highlight our ability to find value in any slate, no matter how big or small. This is what makes BrownBagBets stand out: smart plays, calculated risk, and a relentless focus on long-term success.

Tonight’s Slate – A Lighter Board, But Opportunities Await:

While tonight doesn’t bring a packed schedule, there’s still value to be found:

• NCAAB Plays:

  • Expect a handful of well-researched conference matchups, continuing to build on yesterday’s success.

• NBA and NHL Action:

  • Strategic plays in these leagues will round out the day, offering additional chances to grow our bankrolls.

Final Thought – Stay the Course, Reap the Rewards:
With January off to a strong start, we’re proving once again why the BrownBagBets process works. Whether you’re a longtime follower or just joining us, this is the time to ride the momentum. We won 2024, and 2025 is shaping up to be even better.

Let’s keep the focus, execute the system, and make tonight another step toward a winning month. The money train is here—let’s ride it together!

NCAAB: Northern Kentucky at Youngstown State
Pick: Youngstown St. -2 / Wager: 2%

Analysis

Northern Kentucky has been a liability on the road, losing five of their last six away games while also failing to cover the spread in any of them (0-6 ATS). Their offensive struggles are particularly concerning, as the Norse are shooting under 40% on the road. While their defensive strategy revolves around creating turnovers, Youngstown State has proven to be solid at protecting the ball, which neutralizes this key aspect of Northern Kentucky's game plan.

At home, the Penguins are a different beast, shooting 52.5% from inside the arc and converting 71% of their free throws. Youngstown State’s transition offense thrives when their defense forces stops, and Northern Kentucky’s road defense—allowing over 78 points per game—offers ample opportunities for the Penguins to dictate the pace.

Betting Indicators

• ATS Trends: Northern Kentucky is 0-6 ATS in their last six road games.

• Home vs. Away Split: Youngstown State is far more efficient offensively at home, while NKU struggles mightily on the road.

• Defense vs. Offense: Youngstown’s ability to protect the ball negates NKU’s turnover-based defensive approach.

Projection: Youngstown State 75, Northern Kentucky 69.

NCAAB: Drake at Bradley
Pick: Bradley -2.5 / Wager: 2%

Analysis

This matchup presents an uphill battle for Drake, as this will be only their third true road game of the season, and they come into it on a two-game losing streak. The Bulldogs’ slow-paced style could face challenges on the road against a Bradley team that dominates the boards and controls tempo effectively. Bradley has been stellar at home, going 8-0 straight up, and their ability to shoot efficiently from beyond the arc—leading the nation in three-point efficiency—creates a significant edge against Drake's middling perimeter defense.

While Drake has won five of the last six meetings, covering in all of them, the current form of both teams heavily favors the Braves. Bradley’s five-game winning streak and unbeaten conference record showcase their momentum and ability to execute in high-stakes situations.

Betting Indicators

• Home Dominance: Bradley is 8-0 SU at home this season.

• Momentum: Bradley is on a five-game winning streak, while Drake has lost their last two.

• Three-Point Efficiency: Bradley leads the nation in three-point efficiency, a critical advantage against Drake’s average perimeter defense.

Projection: Bradley 68, Drake 62.

NCAAB: Ole Miss at Arkansas
Pick: Arkansas -3.5 / Wager: 2%

Analysis

This is a prime bounce-back opportunity for Arkansas after a tough loss against Tennessee. The Razorbacks thrive in transition, and their tempo should pose significant challenges for Ole Miss, a team that struggles to keep up with faster-paced opponents. While turnovers are a concern for Arkansas, their ability to capitalize on fast-break opportunities and control the boards gives them a critical edge in this matchup.

Ole Miss has shown defensive strength but has struggled to generate consistent offense, particularly against more athletic teams like Arkansas. If the Hogs can limit their mistakes and dictate the pace, they should comfortably cover this number. The line movement to -2.5 earlier signaled strong market support for Arkansas, making this a favorable spot.

Betting Indicators

• Transition Play: Arkansas excels in fast-paced games, a mismatch against Ole Miss’ slower tempo.

• Line Value: Strong value at -3 or less; play cautiously if it moves beyond -4.

• Motivation Factor: Razorbacks looking to rebound after a tough loss to Tennessee.

Projection: Arkansas 74, Ole Miss 68.

NCAAB: Georgia Southern at Georgia State
Pick: Georgia State ML / Wager: 3%

Analysis

Georgia State has been dominant in this matchup at home, with Georgia Southern failing to secure a win in Atlanta since the 2019-20 season. The Eagles are coming off a disappointing offensive performance, managing just 47 points in their last game. This lack of scoring consistency could spell trouble against a Georgia State team that thrives on controlling the glass and dictating tempo.

Nick McMullen’s rebounding prowess is a significant advantage for the Panthers. With Georgia State boasting a +3.9 rebounding margin compared to the Eagles’ -1.6, second-chance opportunities should play a crucial role. At home, the Panthers are in a strong position to exploit this edge and grind out a win in what might be a lower-scoring contest.

Betting Indicators

• Home Court Advantage: Georgia State has owned this series in Atlanta since moving to the Convocation Center.

• Rebounding Edge: Panthers’ significant rebounding advantage (+3.9 vs. -1.6) could dictate the outcome.

• Offensive Struggles: Georgia Southern’s season-low 47 points in their last game signals trouble against a disciplined defense.

Projection: Georgia State 67, Georgia Southern 61.

NCAAB: Illinois State at Evansville
Pick: Under 134.5 / Wager: 3%

Analysis

Evansville's strategy shift to a slower pace under HC David Ragland has created a significant under trend, with the Purple Aces going under in nine straight games since Thanksgiving. By grinding games to a near standstill, they’ve flustered opponents, allowing just 52 points per game while winning two of their last three. The introduction of EKU transfer Tayshawn Comer, who has averaged 25 points per game over the last two contests, has provided Evansville with some offensive spark without increasing tempo.

Illinois State thrives in faster-paced games, evident in their six wins over their last seven outings. However, the Redbirds will likely struggle to dictate the tempo at the Ford Center, where Evansville has turned games into defensive battles. With the Purple Aces consistently holding opponents well below their season averages, this matchup is primed for another low-scoring affair.

Betting Indicators

• Pace of Play: Evansville has slowed games dramatically, allowing just 52 points per game in their last three.

• Under Trend: Nine consecutive unders for Evansville since late November.

• Defensive Edge: The Aces’ ability to frustrate opponents at home, particularly with their methodical style.

Projection: Illinois State 63, Evansville 58.

NCAAB: Texas A&M at Oklahoma
Pick: Oklahoma ML / Wager: 2%

Analysis

The absence of Wade Taylor IV, Texas A&M's leading scorer, puts the Aggies in a tough spot offensively. With just one other player averaging double figures, their scoring depth is severely limited. While the Aggies boast a top-10 defense in terms of efficiency, their offense has struggled to match that standard, particularly on the road. This is only their second true road game of the season, and the lack of experience in hostile environments could be a factor.

Oklahoma is coming off a humiliating 28-point loss to Alabama but has been dominant at home, posting an 8-0 SU record. The Sooners are highly efficient offensively at home, shooting 57.1% effectively and ranking sixth nationally from the free-throw line. Returning to Norman should provide a significant boost, especially against an Aggies team missing their top offensive weapon.

Betting Indicators

• Key Injury: Texas A&M’s leading scorer Wade Taylor IV is out, leaving the Aggies with limited offensive options.

• Home Court Advantage: Oklahoma is undefeated at home this season (8-0 SU).

• Offensive Efficiency: The Sooners are among the best in the nation in effective shooting percentage and free-throw accuracy.

Projection: Oklahoma 72, Texas A&M 67.

NHL: Vancouver Canucks at Washington Capitals
Pick: Capitals -1.5 @ +140 / Wager: 3%

Analysis

The Canucks continue to struggle under Rick Tocchet, dropping seven of their last nine games and searching for consistency. Vancouver's goaltender Thatcher Demko has yet to regain his top form after returning from injury. In seven starts, Demko has posted a disappointing 3.34 GAA and an .881 save percentage. His most recent outing on January 2 against Seattle ended early due to back spasms, and this will be his first game back since.

The Capitals, on the other hand, have shown resilience all season, avoiding consecutive losses in most cases. With Logan Thompson in goal, the Caps have a strong chance to dominate this matchup. Thompson’s impressive 16-2-2 record, along with a 2.39 GAA and .916 save percentage, solidifies Washington’s defensive reliability. Coach Spencer Carbery’s team will be motivated to bounce back after a shootout loss to Buffalo on Monday.

Betting Indicators

• Goaltending Advantage: Washington’s Logan Thompson has been stellar compared to Demko’s inconsistent performance.

• Team Resilience: The Capitals have only lost back-to-back games twice this season, indicating strong recovery after a loss.

• Canucks’ Struggles: Vancouver has lost seven of their last nine games, with shaky defensive and goaltending performances.

Projection: Capitals 4, Canucks 1.

NBA: Toronto Raptors at New York Knicks
Pick: Knicks -11.5 / Wager: 3%

Analysis

The Raptors' struggles on the road continue to pile up, with recent blowout losses by 14, 29, and an astounding 54 points in their last three away games. Over their last 15 games, Toronto ranks last in the league in points allowed per game (122.1) and net rating (-13.5). Their defensive woes have resulted in five consecutive double-digit road losses, and they’ve failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road contests.

The Knicks, while guilty of playing down to lesser competition at times, have a good opportunity to capitalize on a floundering Raptors squad. New York recently defeated Toronto by 14 points and has been strong as heavy favorites, going 6-2 ATS as favorites of 12+ points this season. The Knicks' offense should have no trouble exploiting Toronto’s porous defense, and with a focused effort, they are poised for another comfortable win.

Betting Indicators

• Raptors' Defensive Issues: Last in the league in points allowed (122.1) over the past 15 games.

• Knicks' Performance as Big Favorites: 6-2 ATS as favorites of 12+ points.

• Head-to-Head Edge: Knicks beat the Raptors by 14 earlier this season and can replicate that success at home.

Projection: Knicks 123, Raptors 108.