Four Straight Wins & MLB, NHL, College Football Tonight
Four Straight Winning Nights and Bankroll Growth Continues
Last night was another winning night for BrownBagBets as we hit plus-money plays and wagers across the board. That brings us to four consecutive winning nights, with a solid 4% growth to our bankroll, now sitting at 110% of where we started for the month of October. The past seven days have been on fire, with our plays winning well over 60% of the total picks. It’s nights like these that remind us why we stay disciplined and trust the process.
At BrownBagBets, we stick to our long-term strategy—never chasing, always learning, and letting the wins compound naturally. With October shaping up to be another profitable month, we’ve set ourselves up for continued success.
Tonight’s Slate: MLB, NHL, and College Football
As we shift our focus to tonight’s slate, we’ve got a few key plays standing out across MLB, NHL, and college football.
MLB Playoffs:
The Los Angeles Dodgers will send Walker Buehler to the mound, despite his recent struggles (4.68 xERA, 10.5% K-BB%). Buehler’s last start was a rough one, giving up 6 earned runs in the second inning against the Padres. His velocity has been declining over the years, and he hasn’t faced the New York Mets this season. The Dodgers will need Buehler to show some length tonight to preserve their bullpen, while Luis Severino has provided solid postseason performances for the Mets, offering much-needed stability in their rotation.
NHL Action:
We’ve got four games on the NHL slate tonight, but one in particular has caught our eye: the Boston Bruins head to Colorado to take on the 0-3 Avalanche. Keep an eye out for potential value plays as we dig deeper into this matchup.
College Football:
The second of five straight days of college football brings us two intriguing Conference USA clashes:
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are +2.5 road underdogs against the Sam Houston Bearkats in what could be a preview of the CUSA Championship. We’ve got a pick lined up on the spread for this one.
Later in the night, the Florida International Panthers head to El Paso to take on the UTEP Miners, with FIU as a -7 favorite. We’re analyzing the matchups to find the right play in this game as well.
Keep the Winning Streak Alive
At BrownBagBets, we’re always focused on the long game. Last night’s success was just another example of how our methodical, calculated approach pays off over time. We’re not here to chase short-term wins—we’re here to consistently grow our bankrolls through smart, disciplined betting. With tonight’s action in MLB, NHL, and college football, we’re ready to keep the momentum rolling and stay on track for another winning month.
Stay tuned for updates on our final picks, and let’s make tonight another profitable one!
MLB - National League Championship Series (Game 3): Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets
Pick: Mets ML / Wager: 3%
Mets Thrive at Home:
The New York Mets have been on the road quite a bit, but they excel when playing at home. They boast an impressive 15-3 record in their last 18 home games, facing off against nearly exclusively playoff-caliber teams. This familiarity with the home field gives them a significant advantage in this matchup against a struggling starting pitcher.
Severino’s Home Advantage:
Luis Severino has demonstrated a clear difference in performance based on location, with a stellar 2.96 ERA at home compared to a 5.50 mark on the road. While he has been solid in two playoff starts away from home, the Mets are counting on him to deliver a strong outing on their turf. Historically, Severino has been good for at least six innings in six of his last seven starts, providing a reliable presence on the mound.
Buehler’s Struggles:
Walker Buehler, on the other hand, has faced significant challenges recently. He was hammered by the Padres in a previous start, allowing 7 hits and 6 earned runs in just 5 innings. His regular-season road ERA of 6.53 is concerning, especially given the 10 home runs, 16 walks, and .293 opponent batting average he allowed in 30.1 innings. This trend bodes well for a Mets lineup that is currently firing on all cylinders.
Dodgers’ Ohtani Dilemma:
The Dodgers are also dealing with the impact of Shohei Ohtani’s performance in the playoffs. He has struggled to find his rhythm, batting just .222 and lacking an extra-base hit since Game One of the LDS. This inefficiency could prove detrimental to the Dodgers as they face a potent Mets offense.
NHL: Boston Bruins at Colorado Avalanche
Pick: Over 6.5 @ +100 / Wager: 2%
Avalanche Goaltending Woes:
The Colorado Avalanche are currently grappling with significant goaltending issues, having allowed a staggering 20 goals in their first three games of the season. This trend raises concerns about their defensive capabilities and suggests that scoring opportunities will likely remain plentiful.
Explosive Offense:
On the flip side, the Avalanche have shown they can put the puck in the net with an explosive offense. Their ability to score quickly and efficiently means that even with their goaltending struggles, they can contribute to a high-scoring affair.
Value at Plus-Money:
Seeing the total set at 6.5 and available at plus-money is a tremendous value considering the current state of both teams. The Bruins also bring a capable offensive attack, which could easily capitalize on the Avalanche’s defensive vulnerabilities.
NHL: Utah Hockey Club at Anaheim Ducks
Pick: Ducks ML @ +130 / Wager: 2%
Utah's Recent Struggles:
The early excitement surrounding the Utah Hockey Club seems to be fading after their recent performance. Following a strong start where they scored an impressive 16 goals in their first three games, the Club faced a setback in Newark, suffering a 3-0 defeat to the Devils. This lackluster showing raises questions about their ability to maintain such a high offensive pace throughout the season.
Goaltending Concerns:
While Connor Ingram boasts an undefeated record of 3-0-0, his statistics tell a different story with a 3.54 GAA and a save percentage of just .871. This inconsistency in goal could pose significant challenges for Utah, especially if they find themselves in a high-pressure situation against a more disciplined team like the Ducks.
Anaheim's Opportunity:
On the other hand, the Anaheim Ducks are positioned to capitalize on Utah's vulnerabilities. With John Gibson sidelined, Lukas Dostal has stepped up to claim the No. 1 goalie spot and proved his worth with a solid performance, recording a 2-0 shutout against the Sharks in San Jose last Saturday. This momentum could provide the Ducks with the edge they need to secure a win at home.
NCAAF: Western Kentucky at Sam Houston State
Pick: Western Kentucky +2.5 / Wager: 2%
Sam Houston's Surprising Turnaround:
Sam Houston State has enjoyed one of the most remarkable turnarounds in college football this season, bouncing back from an 0-8 start last year to secure four wins. However, it's important to note that the majority of their victories have come against lower-tier competition, including Rice, Hawaii, New Mexico State, and UTEP. Their sole impressive win featured a dramatic comeback from a 22-0 deficit against Texas State, raising questions about their true capabilities.
Reality Check Ahead:
As the Bearkats prepare to face Western Kentucky, this matchup has all the makings of a reality check. The Hilltoppers, led by backup quarterback Caden Veltkamp, are well-equipped to handle the challenge. Despite the quarterback change, Western Kentucky's offense has remained consistent and potent, showing no signs of slowing down.
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