Sunday Funday: BrownBagBets Winning Ways on Full Display

Yesterday was another stellar day for BrownBagBets, finishing with a strong 7-2 record. Our EPL picks have hit the ground running, showing that our preseason analysis and strategies are paying off big time. In addition, our NCAAF Week 0 plays came through, adding to the momentum we’ve been building all August.

As we head into Sunday, August 25th, we’ve got a jam-packed 15-game MLB slate to work with, brimming with opportunities for savvy bettors. Whether you’re following the action in the EPL or diving into the baseball matchups, there’s plenty to look forward to. Today’s highlight in the EPL features Chelsea, who are eager to bounce back after a tough opening loss to Manchester City. They’ll be taking on Wolves at the Molineux, and we’ve got our eyes on this one as a key game for value.

Let’s keep this winning streak alive and finish the weekend strong. Stay tuned for today’s best picks and wager guidance, as we continue to leverage our insights to maximize our returns.

English Premier League: Brentford at Liverpool

Defensive Inconsistencies

Liverpool has shown inconsistency in defense, which could lead to a tighter game than anticipated. A close scoreline, such as 1-0 or 2-1, is plausible, making the +1.5 handicap for Brentford favorable.

Head-to-Head Performance

Recent encounters have seen Brentford manage to keep games competitive against Liverpool. This historical trend supports the expectation that Brentford can maintain a close scoreline even if Liverpool wins.

Pick: Brentford +1.5 @ +125 / Wager: 1%

English Premier League: Chelsea at Wolverhampton

Chelsea’s Quality Advantage

Chelsea has a significant talent advantage over Wolverhampton, who have struggled to replace their key player now at Chelsea. This disparity suggests that Chelsea should be able to control the game and score multiple goals.

Wolverhampton’s Challenges

Wolverhampton has struggled to create scoring chances since losing their best player. This lack of offensive threat further supports Chelsea’s potential for a decisive victory.

Pick: Chelsea to win / Wager: 1%

MLB: Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves

Injury Impact

The Nationals are missing one of their hottest hitters, Alex Call, who has been placed on the IL. His absence could further weaken an already struggling lineup, increasing the Braves’ chances of a comfortable win.

Starting Pitching Edge

Rookie DJ Herz has struggled on the road, with an 0-2 record and a 5.50 ERA. In contrast, Atlanta’s Reynaldo Lopez has been exceptional, boasting a 2.05 ERA. Lopez’s recent dominant performance against the Phillies, coupled with his potential to lead the league in ERA if he had enough innings, underscores his significant advantage over Herz.

Pick: Braves -1.5 @ +115 / Wager: 3%

MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks at Boston Red Sox

Team Momentum

The Diamondbacks are in strong form, aiming for a sweep at Fenway Park and climbing up the standings with a 73-56 record. Their recent performances suggest they are not just competing but thriving in high-stakes situations, including this road trip finale.

Starting Pitching Analysis

Merrill Kelly, despite a rough outing against Tampa Bay, has shown promise in his return from injury. His previous performance against the Red Sox was impressive, with a one-run, 6.1-inning outing that resulted in a win. Kelly’s potential to rebound from his recent struggles and deliver a strong performance is crucial for the Diamondbacks.

Value in the Pick

The opportunity to back the Diamondbacks at plus money is attractive, especially given their current form and Kelly’s track record against Boston.

Pick: Diamondbacks ML @ +120 / Wager: 3%

MLB: Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates

Pitching Matchups

LP NJ Luis Ortiz demonstrated strong form in his recent outing, matching his season-high with seven strikeouts. He effectively contained the Reds in their previous encounter, limiting them to just one run. This suggests that he is capable of maintaining a similar level of performance.

Nick Martinez is expected to rebound from his recent subpar starts. Historically, he has shown the ability to bounce back, which could help in keeping the game low-scoring.

Scoring Potential

Given Ortiz’s effective control and Martinez’s potential for improvement, the likelihood of a low-scoring game increases. The under on 8.5 runs appears to be a solid option with these factors in play.

Pick: Under 8.5 / Wager: 3%