BBBets Thursday Night Keys to Winning

Thursday Night Football Plays

New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Pick: Steelers under 19 points / Wager: 3%

Pick: Under 30 / Wager 3%

Pick: Zeke Elliott over 15.5 carries / wager 2%

Tonight’s Thursday Night Football clash presents a unique betting landscape, with the Steelers and Patriots gearing up for what seems like an inevitable low-scoring affair. The total points line, astonishingly low, reflects the offensive struggles both teams have been grappling with. The Patriots, in particular, are reeling from Rhamondre Stevenson’s injury, further dampening their scoring prospects. Bailey Zappe’s lackluster performance against the Chargers and Mitch Trubisky’s uninspiring presence for the Steelers only add to the anticipation of a scoring drought.

In this defensive tussle, we’re eyeing the Steelers to stay under 19 points. Their recent form, combined with the Patriots’ solid defense, which has conceded a mere 10 points or less in their last four outings, points towards a continuation of this ‘under’ trend. The Patriots themselves are in a scoring slump, managing only 13 points across their last three games. It’s a defensive standoff that’s hard to ignore.

As for the ground game, we’re banking on Ezekiel Elliott to take the lead. With the Patriots likely to play it safe and avoid exposing Zappe to the Steelers’ aggressive pass rush, Elliott is poised to be the workhorse. Despite Kevin Harris being called up from the practice squad, Elliott’s experience and resilience make him a prime candidate to exceed 15.5 carries. The Steelers’ vulnerability at linebacker, even with Elandon Roberts playing through an injury, further cements our confidence in Elliott’s ability to carry the load.

NCAA Men’s Plays

Iowa @ Iowa State

Pick: over 152.5 / wager 2%

Eastern Kentucky @ UNC Greensboro

Pick: UNC Greensboro -6/ wager 5%

IUPU @ EIU

Pick: Eastern Illinois -4.5 / wager 3%

NHL Plays

Kings @ Canadians

Pick: Canadians ML / Wager 2%

In what promises to be a gripping encounter, the LA Kings face off against the Montreal Canadiens, fresh off their dramatic comeback victory over the Blue Jackets. The Kings, who overturned a 3-0 deficit to triumph in overtime, might find themselves in another challenging situation as they take on the Canadiens in Montreal. The Kings’ decision to start Cam Talbot in goal reflects their strategic approach to this game, but it won’t guarantee an easy ride.

Montreal, on the other hand, is riding high from a convincing win against the Kraken, with Sam Monahan leading the charge with a two-goal performance. The Canadiens’ goalie, Sam Montembeault, has been in fine form this season, boasting a 6-4-1 record and a commendable 2.66 GAA. His presence between the pipes gives Montreal a solid chance to keep the game competitive and possibly pull off an upset.

Maple Leafs @ Senators

Pick: over 6.5 / Wager 2%

In tonight’s highly anticipated NHL matchup, the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Ottawa Senators are set to deliver an electrifying game, with the over/under intriguingly set at 6.5. The projections are leaning towards a high-scoring affair, with an estimated score of Toronto 3.1 to Ottawa 3.5, suggesting a tight contest with plenty of goals on the cards.

The betting trends are showing a strong inclination towards the over, with 74% of the public betting on the game surpassing the 6.5 total goals mark. This aligns with the simulation predictions, which also favor the over, albeit with a slightly more conservative 52% probability. Such a high percentage indicates a significant expectation of offensive firepower from both teams.

The line movement throughout the day has been intriguing, with shifts in the under 6.5 odds, reflecting the dynamic nature of public and expert opinions on the game’s potential outcome. Despite these fluctuations, the consensus remains that we’re in for a goal-rich encounter.

The Maple Leafs, known for their potent attack, and the Senators, with their capacity for surprise upsets, are both poised to contribute to a high-scoring game. This matchup isn’t just a battle between two Canadian rivals; it’s a showcase of offensive talent that could very well turn this game into a goal fest.

NBA In-Season Tournament Semi-Final Plays

Pacers @ Bucks

Pick: Haliburton over 11.5 assists / Wager 3%

In tonight’s game, Tyrese Haliburton stands out as a key player, and our model strongly supports him going over 11.5 assists. Despite our model typically being conservative in its assessment of Haliburton, it’s showing a clear preference for this over, which speaks volumes about his expected impact in the game.

Our projections don’t align with the oddsmakers’ high-scoring expectations of 257 points, yet we still see Haliburton playing a pivotal role. His recent performances have been nothing short of impressive, with him notching 49 or more assists in four of his past six games and surpassing 50 in four of the last eight. This trend underscores his consistent ability to facilitate and create scoring opportunities for his team.

We’re projecting Haliburton to be on the court for 39 minutes, but considering the limited playing time of backups Nembhard and McConnell, who combined for only 14 minutes against Boston, there’s a good chance Haliburton could see even more action. This increased court time only enhances his potential to rack up assists.

Pelicans @ Lakers

Pick: Lakers ML / Wager 3% Bankroll

Pick: Lebron James over 35.5 points + assists / Wager 3%

In tonight’s NBA Cup clash, or whatever you want to call it, the Los Angeles Lakers are poised to seize the spotlight, and it’s not just about the game—it’s about the setting and the stakes. This neutral-site encounter in Vegas might as well be a home game, given the expected dominance of Lakers fans in the stands. The New Orleans Pelicans, with a modest 4-6 record away from home, face an uphill battle.

The Lakers’ motivation goes beyond just another win. LeBron James, in particular, seems driven by more than just the game’s outcome. There’s a sense that he’s invested in winning the NBA Cup, not just for the glory but for the significant $500K cash prize that each player on the winning team receives. This isn’t just about personal gain; it’s about sharing the victory and its rewards with his teammates and the club’s support staff.

Moreover, the Lakers’ recent performance against the Suns hinted at more than just skill and strategy. The controversial timeout granted to James in the final seconds of that game suggests a narrative that goes beyond the court. It’s as if the NBA itself might favor the Lakers reaching the final of this inaugural tournament.